|

Ethereum Classic price tops out with a 15% correction likely underway for ETC

  • Ethereum Classic price made a 70% run before profit taking kicked in, with buyer exhaustion suggesting a top out.
  • ETC could pull back 15% to find support at $24.78, marked by the most important Fibonacci level of 61.8%.
  • The bearish outlook will be invalidated if the price records a higher high, clearing the $32.29.

Ethereum Classic (ETC) price is among the biggest gainers, benefitting the most from the spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) approval. The capital rotation from BTC to altcoins has favored some projects more than others, with ETC presenting among the biggest beneficiaries.  

Also Read: Spot BTC ETFs trading volumes approach $5 billion in day one of trading after SEC approvals

Ethereum Classic price eyes 15% crash after massive rally

Ethereum Classic (ETC) price skyrocketed almost 75% since January 8, clearing multi-month blockades to reclaim levels last tested in September 2022. In the aftermath of ETC being massively overbought, a correction may be underway that could see token holders lose 15% of the ground covered.

The position of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 76 confirms the overbought outlook, precipitating a correction. Also, the price has broken past the upper band of the Bollinger indicator in a move that often precedes a pullback as the price has climbed too much.

This is based on the concept of mean reversion of the price, which assumes that the price deviating substantially from the mean or average, causes it to eventually revert back to the mean price.

Accordingly, the Ethereum Classic price could pull south, falling below the 78.6% Fibonacci level at $28.10. An extended fall could see the altcoin descend below the upper band of the Bollinger indicator at $26.33 to test the most important Fibonacci level, 61.8% at $24.78.

In the dire case, the Ethereum Classic price could fall below the 50% Fibonacci level, not only invalidating the prevailing bullish outlook but also testing the centerline of the Bollinger indicator at $21.91. This level failing to hold as support would send the altcoin to the depths of the 38.2% Fibonacci level at $20.11, or worse, the 23.6% retracement at $17.22.

ETC/USDT 1-day chart

On the other hand, considering the Awesome Oscillator (AO) has restored above the midline, turning positive with green histogram bars, the bulls are also at play, which could bode well for Ethereum Classic price.

Increased participation among the bulls could see Ethereum Classic price extend north, filling the market range and recording a higher high above $32.29. A decisive candlestick close above this level would invalidate the bearish thesis.

Author

Lockridge Okoth

Lockridge is a believer in the transformative power of crypto and the blockchain industry.

More from Lockridge Okoth
Share:

Editor's Picks

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC retreats as macro headwinds grow
Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, down over 4% this week and trading around $76,900 at the time of writing on Friday. Institutional demand shows signs of weakness as spot BTC Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) are on track to end their three-week inflow streak, recording nearly $500 million in net outflows through Thursday.
XRP falls toward key support as macro uncertainty, weak momentum cap recovery
Ripple (XRP) falls below $1.33 on Friday, marking the third consecutive day of declines. The token continues to track the broader cryptocurrency market downturn, with investors closely monitoring heightened macroeconomic uncertainty ahead of the United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) release and next week’s Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy decision.
Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP stabilize at lower levels amid ETF outflows and macroeconomic risks
The broader cryptocurrency market is rising on Friday, with Bitcoin (BTC) trading above $77,000 after testing lower support near $76,500. Ethereum (ETH) shows signs of stability, hovering above the support provided at $2,400 despite capped upside at $2,500. Meanwhile, Ripple (XRP) holds above $1.33 after three straight days of declines, reflecting growing headwinds due to macroeconomic uncertainty.
Bitcoin pulls back as another golden cross fails to deliver
Earlier this week, Bitcoin formed a golden cross, a technical signal that occurs when the price’s 50-day moving average rises above the 200-day moving average and is conventionally viewed as a precursor to a bullish rally. Historically, however, that’s often not been the case.
Bitcoin: BTC retreats as macro headwinds grow
Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, down over 4% this week and trading around $76,900 at the time of writing on Friday. Institutional demand shows signs of weakness as spot BTC Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) are on track to end their three-week inflow streak, recording nearly $500 million in net outflows through Thursday.