|

Ethereum Classic price on the cusp of a 20% advance, as ETC awaits the trigger

  • Ethereum Classic price illustrating a symmetrical triangle continuation pattern.
  • Declining 200 six-hour simple moving average (SMA) putting pressure on the digital asset.
  • A decline below $52.82 leaves ETC vulnerable to a test of the 2018 high.

Ethereum Classic price is shaping a symmetrical triangle continuation pattern suggesting that price will resolve to the upside and continue the rally originating on June 22. The pattern appears close to the conclusion as ETC is nearing the triangle’s apex, encouraging investors to ready their portfolio decisions.

Ethereum Classic price contraction leads to price expansion

Ethereum Classic price did complete a 92% gain from the June 22 low, overcoming the resistance of the descending May trend line and the previously impossible 2018 high at $46.98. It was a bullish departure from the marginal strength experienced by other altcoins.

ETC price consolidation after the gains from the June 29 high has been mild in magnitude. Still, it effectively released the overbought condition highlighted by the intra-day Relative Strength Indexes (RSI) and turned the 50 six-hour SMA into support after weeks of notable resistance.

The result of the minor corrective process has been the formation of a symmetrical triangle pattern with Ethereum Classic price getting close to the apex of the formation, implying that ETC should activate at any time or risk losing the advantage of the constructive consolidation. As is always the case, price contraction leads to price expansion.

The measured move of the symmetrical triangle is 19%, projecting a target price of $67.09, thereby successfully positioning Ethereum Classic price above the critical 200 six-hour SMA at $57.94. Indeed, the rally potential is minor compared to the initial bounce from the June 22 low, but it strengthens the position of Ethereum Classic price versus the 2018 high of $46.98.

The points of resistance for the rally include the 200 six-hour SMA at $57.94 and the June 29 high of $62.45. 

Currently, Ethereum Classic price is slipping out of the symmetrical triangle to the downside, but it can be classified as inconclusive. Moreover, ETC has not declined below the crucial level of support at $52.82. Nevertheless, it requires attention as the trading day progresses.

ETC/USD 6-hour chart

ETC/USD 6-hour chart

As mentioned, $52.82 is the line of support for the symmetrical triangle, but if it fails Ethereum Classic price should capture a bid at the confluence of the July 2 low of $50.67 with the 50 six-hour SMA at $50.63.

Any ETC weakness below those levels would assure a test of the 2018 high, representing a 13% decline from the current price.

Ethereum Classic price got a headstart on most of the cryptocurrency market with a 90% gain and recovering key resistance levels. If ETC emerges from the continuation pattern, it will only solidify the relative strength position of the digital token and raise its profile among investors.

Author

Sheldon McIntyre, CMT

Sheldon McIntyre, CMT

Independent Analyst

Sheldon has 24 years of investment experience holding various positions in companies based in the United States and Chile. His core competencies include BRIC and G-10 equity markets, swing and position trading and technical analysis.

More from Sheldon McIntyre, CMT
Share:

Editor's Picks

Mixed signals leave XRP and XLM at crossroads

Ripple and Stellar are trading at critical technical levels on Thursday. XRP has stabilized above the psychological $1.00 support, while XLM is testing support at $0.173. Traders should be cautious as mixed derivatives metrics keep the outlook uncertain for both altcoins. Derivatives data shows mixed sentiment among traders. CoinGlass’ long-to-short ratio for XRP reads 1.02 on Thursday.

Robinhood revenue climbs 32% to record $1.3B in Q2, crypto earnings decline 38%

Robinhood hit record revenue for the second quarter of the year, with total net revenue rising 32% year-over-year to $1.31 billion, according to its earnings report on Wednesday. The exchange witnessed strong growth across equities, options and event contracts.

Bitcoin trails US Dollar as Fed holds rate steady

The Federal Reserve kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 3.50% to 3.75% at its July meeting on Wednesday, in line with market expectations. Minutes from the meeting showed that economic activity has been expanding at a solid pace despite elevated uncertainty. The central bank also noted that job gains have "kept pace with the workforce."

Ethereum: Can Fed decision unsettle the calmness in ETH?

Ethereum climbed above $1,900 on Wednesday following the Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) decision to leave interest rates unchanged at 3.50-3.75%. The decision follows a quiet derivatives and spot market for the top altcoin, with traders waiting for the decision before making a move, according to CryptoQuant analysts.

Bitcoin: BTC holds firm, but the $100 Oil threat could change the game
Bitcoin (BTC) is modestly recovering, trading at $65,400 on Friday and holding firmly above the key support zone. US-listed spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) supported BTC’s modest recovery as they continued to attract institutional inflows through Thursday, pointing to the third consecutive week of inflows.