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Chainlink Price Forecast: LINK primed for a 30% advance

  • Chainlink price struggling with short-term resistance at $32.00.
  • Whale transaction count registered a spike on April 2.
  • Topside trendline comes into play around $42.40.

Chainlink price trended sideways for more than a month and on below-average volume every day, but one. The price action in mid-February, early March, and now point to $32.00 being a psychologically important level. If the level is overcome, the altcoin should rally more than 30% in the coming days.

Chainlink price bottoming out versus Bitcoin

Data from ByBt.com shows that Grayscale bought 115,570 tokens for the Grayscale Trust from March 17 until April 1, which included a large 65,570 purchase last Thursday. Heavy buying like that gets the attention of market participants and may have been behind the 8% on April 2.

Santiment data showed that the number of mid and large holders owning 100-100k LINK tokens notably accumulated during March. Additionally, the so-called whales holding 100,000 to 1,000,000 LINK tokens increased 6% from April 1 - April 3.

LINK whale transaction count chart

LINK whale transaction count chart

The March high was $32.00, and that is the level that LINK has been struggling with over the last few days. A trade above $33.15 will confirm the April 2 breakout and set the stage for a quick advance to the February high at $36.92. The next target is the 2.618 Fibonacci extension of the August 2020-September correction at $40.53.

A 33% gain would accompany a rally to the topside trendline at $42.51, which was resistance at the February high and resulted in a rapid 40% decline. For now, LINK should not be reviewed as a trend trade but a short-term opportunity.


LINK/USD daily chart

LINK/USD daily chart

The first level of support is at the intersection of the rising trendline and the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at $24.83, followed by the February 23 low at $21.00. The last gasp support level is the August 2020 high at $20.00.

Author

Sheldon McIntyre, CMT

Sheldon McIntyre, CMT

Independent Analyst

Sheldon has 24 years of investment experience holding various positions in companies based in the United States and Chile. His core competencies include BRIC and G-10 equity markets, swing and position trading and technical analysis.

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