|

Cardano price could crash 50% if ADA bulls fail to defend key support level

  • Cardano price retests the $0.805 support level, a breakdown of which could lead to a steep crash.
  • A 50% crash to $0.381 is plausible based on the volume profile indicator
  • A daily candlestick close above $1 will invalidate the bearish thesis for ADA.

Cardano price has been on a downtrend for the longest time and is currently retesting a vital support level. This foothold is crucial in preventing a massive correction to a level last seen in early 2021.

Cardano price heads south

Cardano price has crashed roughly 74% from its all-time high at $3.104 and is currently trading around $0.789. Based on the volume profile indicator, the volume traded for ADA thins out considerably after $0.805 up to $0.381.

Hence, a decisive close below $0.805 will give bears the control. Such a development would lead to a 50% crash from the current position to $0.381. Therefore, bulls have one last chance to make their efforts count.

Failing to do so could lead to a capitulation level crash. While bearish, it would signal that a bottom is in for Cardano price.

ADA/USDT 3-day chart

ADA/USDT 3-day chart

Cardano price has sliced through the 50-day, 100-day and 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) in the last four months or so. Any attempts to move higher were capped, leading to an extended bear rally.

However, if Bitcoin’s situation improves, there is a good chance Cardano price will see some bullish reaction as well. If ADA produces a decisive close above the 50-day SMA at $1, it will invalidate the bearish thesis.

In this case, the so-called “Ethereum killer” might make a run for the next crucial hurdle at $1.20, where the current volume point of control is present.

Author

Akash Girimath

Akash Girimath is a Mechanical Engineer interested in the chaos of the financial markets. Trying to make sense of this convoluted yet fascinating space, he switched his engineering job to become a crypto reporter and analyst.

More from Akash Girimath
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Solana Price Forecast: SOL consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana (SOL) price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout.

Top 3 Price Prediction: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple – BTC, ETH and XRP face pressure near key technical barriers

Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) hover around key levels on Monday after correcting slightly in the previous week. The top three cryptocurrencies by market capitalization could face increased downside risk as bearish momentum builds across key indicators.

Top Crypto Losers: DASH, SPX, PENGU – Privacy and meme coins lose ground

Altcoins, including Dash (DASH), SPX6900 (SPX), and Pudgy Penguins (PENGU), are leading losses as the broader cryptocurrency market remains cautious ahead of the macroeconomic data releases, such as the US Nonfarm payroll report, CPI data, and the Bank of Japan’s rate-hike decision.

Top 3 Price Prediction: BTC and ETH eyes breakout, XRP steadies at support

Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) are nearing the key resistance levels at the time of writing on Friday, and a successful breakout could open the door for a fresh rally. Meanwhile, Ripple (XRP) is stabilizing around a crucial support zone, hinting at a potential rebound if buyers maintain control.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.