|

Bitcoin whale activity signals possibility of a historic bull run in BTC if this occurs

  • Bitcoin price drifted lower on Tuesday as whale interest in BTC declined. 
  • Whale transactions worth $1 million in Bitcoin have hit the lowest network levels since December 2020. 
  • If BTC price continues sliding lower, a spike in transactions by large wallet investors could signal a massive bull run in the asset. 

Bitcoin price continued its decline for the seventh day in a row. Large volume transactions, valued $1 million or higher have hit a historical low as whale interest in BTC deteriorates. If BTC price continues sliding a spike in whale transactions could be a historically bullish signal for the asset. 

Also read: Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao believes external factors are driving fear among BNB holders

Bitcoin whale activity could signal a bull run on one condition

Bitcoin network’s large wallet investors and their activities have typically influenced the asset’s price. Based on data from crypto intelligence tracker Santiment, BTC’s ranging prices overlapped with declining whale interest. 

In the chart below, there is a correlation between Bitcoin price and transactions worth $1 million or higher. Analysts at Santiment believe if BTC price continues to slide and whale transactions spike, it would be a historic bullish signal for the largest asset by market capitalization. 

Bitcoin whale transactions worth $1 million hit lowest point

Bitcoin whale transactions worth $1 million hit lowest point since Dec 2020

Despite BTC’s steep price drop, holders are nursing their losses. The largest asset by market capitalization recently experienced historically low volatility 

Bitcoin hodlers are sitting on a record 8 million BTC in unrealized losses. Data from on-chain analytics firm Glassnode shows that both short-term and long-term holders are sitting on more unrealized losses than ever before. 

Bitcoin: Long and short-term holders in loss

Bitcoin: Long and Short-term holders in loss

This marks an important milestone in Bitcoin’s price trend in the ongoing bear market. Whale activity and large volume transactions could trigger a breakout in the digital currency, as experts anticipate a BTC rally. 

Bitcoin could find its bear market bottom in January 2023

RektCapital, a crypto analyst and trader evaluated Bitcoin’s recent Relative Strength Index (RSI). The momentum indicator is used to identify potential trend reversals in the asset. Bitcoin RSI recently entered the oversold zone, a sign that has historically preceded a reversal and recovery with outsized Returns On Investment for long-term investors. 

The past reversals from this area include the BTC price rally in January 2015, December 2018 and March 2020 – basically all bear market bottoms. The expert argues that the number one cryptocurrency by market cap is currently searching for its first bottom to build macro bullish divergence. 

BTC/USD price chart

BTC/USD price chart

The technical analyst believes BTC could hit its cycle bottom by January 2023, and start climbing higher, prior to the next Bitcoin halving. 

Author

Ekta Mourya

Ekta Mourya

FXStreet

Ekta Mourya has extensive experience in fundamental and on-chain analysis, particularly focused on impact of macroeconomics and central bank policies on cryptocurrencies.

More from Ekta Mourya
Share:

Editor's Picks

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP trade under sustained selling pressure despite mild ETF inflows

Cryptocurrency prices remain under pressure as a risk-off mood persists on Friday, with Bitcoin consolidating its losses above $62,000. Altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple, are extending their weakness, trading near lower support levels around $1,600 and $1.12, respectively.

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: After the bloodbath, everyone looks at $60,000

Bitcoin (BTC) hovers above $62,000 at the time of writing on Friday, weighed down by growing risk-off sentiment due to persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and sticky macroeconomic uncertainty.

Cardano hits five-year low even as Hoskinson clarifies "break" isn't an exit

Cardano price is down 10% at press time on Friday, extending losses over 30% so far this week amid Charles Hoskinson's clarification that "break" isn't an exit. A reactionary spike in on-chain activity and social chatter, reflecting a strength of community, but fails to absorb the price decline.

Arthur Hayes' “Holy Trinity” is dead: Exits Zcash after Orchard Pool exploit

Arthur Hayes dumped his entire Zcash holdings on Friday, a day after selling his HYPE and NEAR holdings. Zcash is down 13% so far on Friday, extending the 26% drop from the previous day.

Bitcoin: After the bloodbath, everyone looks at $60,000
Bitcoin (BTC) hovers above $62,000 at the time of writing on Friday, weighed down by growing risk-off sentiment due to persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and sticky macroeconomic uncertainty. The institutional sell-off continued to wreak havoc on capital flows, with spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) recording billions in outflows.