|

Bitcoin whale activity signals possibility of a historic bull run in BTC if this occurs

  • Bitcoin price drifted lower on Tuesday as whale interest in BTC declined. 
  • Whale transactions worth $1 million in Bitcoin have hit the lowest network levels since December 2020. 
  • If BTC price continues sliding lower, a spike in transactions by large wallet investors could signal a massive bull run in the asset. 

Bitcoin price continued its decline for the seventh day in a row. Large volume transactions, valued $1 million or higher have hit a historical low as whale interest in BTC deteriorates. If BTC price continues sliding a spike in whale transactions could be a historically bullish signal for the asset. 

Also read: Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao believes external factors are driving fear among BNB holders

Bitcoin whale activity could signal a bull run on one condition

Bitcoin network’s large wallet investors and their activities have typically influenced the asset’s price. Based on data from crypto intelligence tracker Santiment, BTC’s ranging prices overlapped with declining whale interest. 

In the chart below, there is a correlation between Bitcoin price and transactions worth $1 million or higher. Analysts at Santiment believe if BTC price continues to slide and whale transactions spike, it would be a historic bullish signal for the largest asset by market capitalization. 

Bitcoin whale transactions worth $1 million hit lowest point

Bitcoin whale transactions worth $1 million hit lowest point since Dec 2020

Despite BTC’s steep price drop, holders are nursing their losses. The largest asset by market capitalization recently experienced historically low volatility 

Bitcoin hodlers are sitting on a record 8 million BTC in unrealized losses. Data from on-chain analytics firm Glassnode shows that both short-term and long-term holders are sitting on more unrealized losses than ever before. 

Bitcoin: Long and short-term holders in loss

Bitcoin: Long and Short-term holders in loss

This marks an important milestone in Bitcoin’s price trend in the ongoing bear market. Whale activity and large volume transactions could trigger a breakout in the digital currency, as experts anticipate a BTC rally. 

Bitcoin could find its bear market bottom in January 2023

RektCapital, a crypto analyst and trader evaluated Bitcoin’s recent Relative Strength Index (RSI). The momentum indicator is used to identify potential trend reversals in the asset. Bitcoin RSI recently entered the oversold zone, a sign that has historically preceded a reversal and recovery with outsized Returns On Investment for long-term investors. 

The past reversals from this area include the BTC price rally in January 2015, December 2018 and March 2020 – basically all bear market bottoms. The expert argues that the number one cryptocurrency by market cap is currently searching for its first bottom to build macro bullish divergence. 

BTC/USD price chart

BTC/USD price chart

The technical analyst believes BTC could hit its cycle bottom by January 2023, and start climbing higher, prior to the next Bitcoin halving. 

Author

Ekta Mourya

Ekta Mourya

FXStreet

Ekta Mourya has extensive experience in fundamental and on-chain analysis, particularly focused on impact of macroeconomics and central bank policies on cryptocurrencies.

More from Ekta Mourya
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP trade under pressure amid mixed technical signals 

Bitcoin is trading above $90,000 at the time of writing on Tuesday amid sticky risk-off sentiment in the broader crypto market. Altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple, are paring losses, holding above key support levels.

Bitcoin steadies above $90,000 as Fed rate-cut optimism lifts market sentiment

Bitcoin price holds above $90,000 on Tuesday after finding support around this key level. Firm expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates on Wednesday boosts investors' appetite for riskier assets such as BTC.

Pepe stalls as on-chain, derivatives data flash bullish signals

Pepe (PEPE) trades in the red on Tuesday after failing to secure a daily close above the $0.00000500 psychological level on Monday. The technical outlook remains mixed as the meme coin consolidates. 

Chainlink Price Forecast: LINK holds firm as reserves hit 16-month low

Chainlink price steadies near $13.70 on Tuesday, finding support around the key level. On-chain data signals bullish sentiment, as LINK exchange reserves fall to their lowest level since August 2024.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pare gains despite increasing hopes of upcoming Fed rate cut

Bitcoin (BTC) is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Resistance at $94,150 capped recovery on Wednesday, but in the meantime, bulls have contained downside risks above $90,000.