Bitcoin price could react to potential clash between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump at July Bitcoin Conference


  • Mt. Gox funds movement on Wednesday may negatively impact Bitcoin's price.
  • Bitcoin Magazine reports speculation that Kamala Harris might attend the upcoming July Bitcoin Conference with Donald Trump.
  • US spot Bitcoin ETFs registered slight outflows on Tuesday.

Bitcoin (BTC) price struggles around $66,000 on Wednesday. US spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced minor outflows on Tuesday, coinciding with the continued movement of Mt. Gox funds for repayment, which could exert downward pressure on Bitcoin's price.

 

Daily digest market movers: Bitcoin declines 2.36% on Tuesday as Mt. Gox starts repayment  

  • Data from Lookonchain indicates that Mt. Gox moved 37,477 BTC, valued at $2.47 billion, on Wednesday. Since July 5, Mt.Gox has transferred 52,549 BTC worth $3.31 billion to Bitstamp, Kraken, and Bitbank for repayment. With Mt. Gox currently holding $5.95 billion in Bitcoin, this continued transfer of funds likely sparked FUD (Fear, Uncertainty, Doubt) among traders, potentially contributing to Bitcoin's price decline.
  • On Tuesday, US spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced outflows totaling $77.80 million. During this period, Grayscale (GBTC), ARK 21Shares (ARKB), and Bitwise (BITB) decreased their holdings by 404.45 BTC, 774.82 BTC, and 1,040 BTC, respectively, while Blackrock (IBIT) added 1,070 BTC. 
  • This decline suggests a slight weakening of investor confidence, potentially contributing to a temporary dip in Bitcoin's price on Tuesday. The net inflow data from ETFs is crucial for assessing investor sentiment and understanding market dynamics. Together, the 11 US spot Bitcoin ETFs currently hold reserves amounting to $53.16 billion in Bitcoin.

Bitcoin Spot ETF Net Inflow (USD) chart

Bitcoin Spot ETF Net Inflow (USD) chart

Bitcoin Spot ETF Net Inflow (USD) chart

  • According to Bitcoin Magazine, there is speculation that Democratic nominee Kamala Harris might share the stage with Donald Trump at the upcoming Bitcoin Conference, which is scheduled for July 25 to 27. If confirmed, her participation could set the stage for a significant showdown in the upcoming presidential race, especially amidst concerns among Democrats about Trump's growing appeal among crypto-investor voters.
  • According to CryptoQuant, UTxO Realized Price Age Distribution is a set of realized prices and age bands. The metrics help investors to overview each cohort's holding behavior by overlaying a set of different realized prices. Realized price is calculated as Realized Cap divided by the total supply.
  • In BTC's recent movement, the price briefly dipped and stabilized at nearly $65,915. This range is close to the average purchase price of $66,500 for 1-3 month BTC holders, potentially serving as a support level.
  • However, further correction could see support around the $63,800 level, reflecting the average purchase price range of 3-6 month holders.

Bitcoin UTxO Realized Price Age Distribution chart

Bitcoin UTxO Realized Price Age Distribution chart

 

Technical analysis: BTC faces rejection around the $67,000 mark

Bitcoin’s price faced resistance around the weekly resistance level at 67,209 and declined by 2.3% on Tuesday. At the time of writing, BTC retraces and trades at around $65,632 on Wednesday.

If BTC continues to retrace, it could find support at the daily level of $64,913, coinciding closely with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $64,921, derived from the June 7 high of $71,997 to the July 5 low of $53,475. This would establish a critical zone of support that should be monitored closely.

If this area of support at $64,913 holds, BTC could rally 11% to retest its June 7 high of $71,997.

On the daily chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Awesome Oscillator (AO) are trading above their neutral levels of 50 and zero, respectively. This robust momentum signals a strong bullish sentiment in the market.

BTC/USDT daily chart

BTC/USDT daily chart

However, a close below $62,736 and a break below the ascending trendline formed by joining multiple swing lows from July 5 would break the market structure from bullish to bearish by forming a lower low on the daily timeframe. Such a scenario might precipitate a 10% crash in Bitcoin's price to retest its July 12 low of $56,405.

Crypto ETF FAQs

An Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) is an investment vehicle or an index that tracks the price of an underlying asset. ETFs can not only track a single asset, but a group of assets and sectors. For example, a Bitcoin ETF tracks Bitcoin’s price. ETF is a tool used by investors to gain exposure to a certain asset.

Yes. The first Bitcoin futures ETF in the US was approved by the US Securities & Exchange Commission in October 2021. A total of seven Bitcoin futures ETFs have been approved, with more than 20 still waiting for the regulator’s permission. The SEC says that the cryptocurrency industry is new and subject to manipulation, which is why it has been delaying crypto-related futures ETFs for the last few years.

Bitcoin spot ETF has been approved outside the US, but the SEC is yet to approve one in the country. After BlackRock filed for a Bitcoin spot ETF on June 15, the interest surrounding crypto ETFs has been renewed. Grayscale – whose application for a Bitcoin spot ETF was initially rejected by the SEC – got a victory in court, forcing the US regulator to review its proposal again. The SEC’s loss in this lawsuit has fueled hopes that a Bitcoin spot ETF might be approved by the end of the year.


Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

Who is Satoshi? Crypto lawyer sues DHS to reveal Satoshi Nakamoto's identity

Who is Satoshi? Crypto lawyer sues DHS to reveal Satoshi Nakamoto's identity

Crypto attorney James Murphy, popularly known as "MetalLawMan", files a lawsuit against DHS to reveal Satoshi Nakamoto's identity. The lawsuit is based on Special Agent Rana Saoud's 2019 claim that the DHS had uncovered the creator of Bitcoin.

More Cryptocurrencies News
Binance to delist BADGER, BAL, 12 more tokens on April 16

Binance to delist BADGER, BAL, 12 more tokens on April 16

Binance will delist 14 tokens on April 16 following a successful vote and standard delisting processes. TROY, SNT, and UFT top Binance’s first batch of the vote to delist results. Binance token delisting will impact futures, margin, loan and simple earn services.

More Cryptocurrencies News
Bitcoin Price Forecast: MicroStrategy’s SEC form 8-K filing hints at possible Bitcoin sales to meet financial obligations

Bitcoin Price Forecast: MicroStrategy’s SEC form 8-K filing hints at possible Bitcoin sales to meet financial obligations

Bitcoin price stabilizes around $80,000 on Tuesday after reaching a new year-to-date low of $74,508 the previous day. MicroStrategy’s SEC Form 8-K filing reports a loss of $5.91 billion, hinting at possible BTC sales to meet financial obligations.

More Bitcoin News
Top 3 gainers Fartcoin, Hyperliquid and Telcoin: Asian session sparks tariff relief rally in meme coins and DeFi

Top 3 gainers Fartcoin, Hyperliquid and Telcoin: Asian session sparks tariff relief rally in meme coins and DeFi

The cryptocurrency market is experiencing a tariff relief rally, with altcoins like Fartcoin, Hyperliquid (HYPE) and Telcoin (TEL) bouncing back with double-digit gains. Fartcoin has jumped 28% in the past 24 hours, reaching $0.5801.

More Cryptocurrencies News
Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: Tariff ‘Liberation Day’ sparks liquidation in crypto market

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: Tariff ‘Liberation Day’ sparks liquidation in crypto market

Bitcoin (BTC) price remains under selling pressure and trades near $84,000 when writing on Friday after a rejection from a key resistance level earlier this week.

Read full analysis
The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD

The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD

SPONSORED Discover the top brokers for trading EUR/USD in 2025. Our list features brokers with competitive spreads, fast execution, and powerful platforms. Whether you're a beginner or an expert, find the right partner to navigate the dynamic Forex market.

Read More

BTC

ETH

XRP