|

Bitcoin price could bounce back from catastrophic drop below $50,000

  • Bitcoin's open interest of BitMex perpetual contracts reached 385 million U.S. dollars, the lowest point in a year.
  • Bitcoin's market share has dropped to its lowest point, 37.8%, since February 2018. 
  • Analysts see bounce potential in the Bitcoin price trend, predict that the asset will recover from a drop below $50,000. 

Analysts are bullish on Bitcoin, expecting it to recover from its recent drop below $50,000. Derivatives traders have lost interest in Bitcoin; however, BTC circulation remains bullish. 

Bitcoin price is at a make-or-break point after drop below $50,000

Based on data from Glassnode, Bitcoin open interest rate on BitMex perpetual contracts has hit its lowest point in a year. The open interest rate is considered an indicator of investor sentiment. 

Currently, the open interest has hit $385 million in perpetual contracts. Perpetual contracts are different from futures contracts since they can be held for an indefinite period of time. The last time there was a drop in Bitcoin open interest on derivatives exchanges, the asset plummeted from $54,000 to $49,000. 

Analysts have noted a drop in Bitcoin's market share. Bitcoin dominance has slipped below 40%, hitting its lowest point since February 2018. While altcoins and memecoins are capturing a larger crypto market share, Bitcoin dominance has dropped to 37.8%. 

Analysts at Santiment, the crypto intelligence platform, have evaluated the Bitcoin price trend and expect a bounce back above the $50,000 level. After hitting a 24-hour low below $49,300, Bitcoin shows the potential for a bounce. 

Bitcoin token circulation is the metric that measures the amount of unique Bitcoins moving around the network. The metric's seven-day trend line is at the highest point since the past six months. This indicates healthy Bitcoin circulation and fuels a bullish narrative for BTC price. 

BTC supply across exchanges is in a downtrend, and the two metrics together (Bitcoin token circulation and supply) have turned analysts bullish on Bitcoin price. 

FXStreet analysts are bullish and predict that Bitcoin price could rebound to test resistance at $55,000. 

Author

Ekta Mourya

Ekta Mourya

FXStreet

Ekta Mourya has extensive experience in fundamental and on-chain analysis, particularly focused on impact of macroeconomics and central bank policies on cryptocurrencies.

More from Ekta Mourya
Share:

Editor's Picks

Injective token surges over 13% following the approval of the mainnet upgrade proposal

Injective price rallies over 13% on Thursday after the network confirmed the approval of its IIP-619 proposal. The green light for the mainnet upgrade has boosted traders’ sentiment, as the upgrade aims to scale Injective’s real-time Ethereum Virtual Machine architecture and enhance its capabilities to support next-generation payments.

Solana Price Forecast: SOL slips below $82 as hawkish Fed tone sparks risk-off sentiment

Solana is trading below $82 at the time of writing on Thursday after failing to break out of the upper consolidation range over the weekend. The Minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee on Wednesday kept interest rates unchanged, but a less dovish tone that followed dampened risk appetite and pressured risky assets.

Warren warns crypto bailout would enrich Trump family biz: Report

Senate Banking Committee ranking member Elizabeth Warren has reportedly sent a letter to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell, urging them not to bail out “cryptocurrency billionaires” with taxpayer dollars. 

Top Crypto Gainers: World Liberty Financial, Sky, and Cosmos confront major resistance

World Liberty Financial, Sky, and Cosmos rank among the top gainers over the last 24 hours but face critical overhead resistance levels. WLFI gained momentum at the World Liberty Forum, an invite-only conference held at Mar-a-Lago by US President Donald Trump’s family, while SKY and ATOM reversed off a crucial support level. 

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

Bitcoin: BTC bears aren’t done yet

Bitcoin (BTC) price slips below $67,000 at the time of writing on Friday, remaining under pressure and extending losses of nearly 5% so far this week.