|

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Rising wedge at record top probes BTC bulls around 49,000

  • BTC/USD struggles to refresh all-time high marked the previous day.
  • Bearish chart formation at the top becomes more powerful if confirmed.
  • MACD teases bulls but RSI nears overbought RSI, suggesting slow grind to the north.
  • Monthly support line, 200-bar SMA adds to the downside filters.

BTC/USD fades upside momentum while easing to $49,000 during the early Monday’s trading. The cryptocurrency pair refreshed the record time the previous day while inching closer to the $50,000 threshold. However, the upper line of the bearish chart pattern, on the four-hour play, challenged the bitcoin bulls near $49,700.

While the rising wedge draws extra strength near the peak, MACD is flirting with the bulls. Also challenging the bearish chart formation could be the absence of the overbought RSI conditions, despite being near to the same.

As a result, BTC/USD traders may witness a slow grind towards the $50,000 threshold, with $49,750 acting as an immediate hurdle. However, any further upside will defy the bearish play and back the bulls cheering the market chatters over the $100,000 psychological magnet.

On the contrary, pullback moves may bounce off the stated pattern’s support line, currently near $47,300, failing to which will confirm the downside moves to the $40,000 threshold.

However, an upward sloping trend line from February 01, currently around $43,350, followed by the 200-bar SMA level of $37,365, can act as the extra bumps during the south-run.

Overall, BTC/USD remains the bull’s favorite despite the latest consolidation. Though, room for pullback can’t be ruled out, considering the bearish chart pattern.

BTC/USD daily chart

Trend: Pullback expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price49018.87
Today Daily Change1782.99
Today Daily Change %3.77%
Today daily open47235.88
 
Trends
Daily SMA2038551.82
Daily SMA5035663.57
Daily SMA10027288.56
Daily SMA20019413.99
 
Levels
Previous Daily High48206.61
Previous Daily Low46281.34
Previous Weekly High48932.32
Previous Weekly Low37390.41
Previous Monthly High41987.21
Previous Monthly Low27772
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%47016.79
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%47471.16
Daily Pivot Point S146275.94
Daily Pivot Point S245316
Daily Pivot Point S344350.67
Daily Pivot Point R148201.21
Daily Pivot Point R249166.55
Daily Pivot Point R350126.48

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).

Sberbank issues Russia's first corporate loan backed by Bitcoin

Russia's largest bank Sberbank launched the country's first Bitcoin-backed corporate loan to miner Intelion Data. The pilot deal uses cryptocurrency as collateral through Sberbank's proprietary Rutoken custody solution.

Bitcoin recovers to $87,000 as retail optimism offsets steady ETF outflows

Bitcoin (BTC) trades above $88,000 at press time on Tuesday, following a rejection at $90,000 the previous day. Institutional support remains mixed amid steady outflow from US spot BTC Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) and Strategy Inc.’s acquisition of 1,229 BTC last week.

Traders split over whether lighter’s LIT clears $3 billion FDV after launch

Lighter’s LIT token has not yet begun open trading, but the market has already drawn a sharp line around its valuation after Tuesday's airdrop.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.