Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC/USD bearish scenario, the free-fall to $6,000 before halving


  • Bitcoin newly established correlation with the traditional stock market could lead to a drop to $6,000 before May’s halving.
  • A bearish pennant pattern technically suggests that Bitcoin price is not in the clear and is likely to slide towards $6,000.

Bitcoin price up and down movements in the last two weeks suggest that volatility is back and it is becoming difficult to predict the direction the price will take. Besides, these are different times especially with the Coronavirus pandemic in the picture. It just this Monday when the price of oil plummeted into the negative for the first time in history. While Bitcoin and oil are not correlated, the granddaddy of cryptocurrency has recently doubled-down on its correlation with the stock market.

BTC/USD dived in the wake of the oil price crash as stocks caved into the pressure. Support was established at $6,750 leading to a reversal that has ended with Bitcoin's spike above $7,000. Intriguingly, there was a pump in the price of crude oil which closed the day trading at $14.23 after a 3.27% growth. Major stocks such as S&P 500 and Dow Jones reacted upwards, however, they still closed the trading on Wednesday in the negative according to the data provided by Yahoo Finance.

Bitcoin price bearish scenario

Bitcoin recovery hit a wall before testing the key hurdle at $7,200. In other words, the pump above $7,000 was not strong enough. At the time of writing, the digital asset is valued at $7,135 and slightly in the hands of the bulls. The resistance at $7,200; a region that incredibly functioned as support in November 2019 following the downtrend from June’s highs at $13,800. It is apparent that a break above this zone, coupled with the upcoming halving speculation and volatility, BTC/USD could soar to $8,000.

Unfortunately, the longer Bitcoin price stays under $7,200, the stronger the sellers become. Moreover, the fear regarding COVID-19 is still hovering and the stock and oil markets could plunge again forcing Bitcoin into a downward path to $6,000. Technically, the formation of a bearish pennant pattern introduces the probability of the same drop to $6,000.

BTC/USD daily chart
BTC/USD price chart


Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Join Telegram

Recommended content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

CAKE price bottoms out as PancakeSwap announces $25 million burn

CAKE price bottoms out as PancakeSwap announces $25 million burn

PancakeSwap’s price increased nearly 3% on Monday after the decentralized exchange platform on the Binance Smart Chain announced a token burn of more than 8.9 million CAKE tokens, collected from trading fees across Automated Market Makers Version 2 and 3 of the platform. 

More Cryptocurrencies News

Ripple lawsuit to see SEC response on Monday, XRP nears 4.5 million mark in liquidity pools

Ripple lawsuit to see SEC response on Monday, XRP nears 4.5 million mark in liquidity pools

Ripple closed above $0.52 on Sunday and resumed its climb on Monday, May 6. Sentiment among market participants is positive as traders await Securities and Exchange Commission response filing and XRP locked in Automated Market Maker liquidity pools crosses 4.31 million. 

More Ripple News

Crypto AI tokens post near double-digit gains amidst launches from NVIDIA, OpenAI and Amazon

Crypto AI tokens post near double-digit gains amidst launches from NVIDIA, OpenAI and Amazon

AI-based cryptocurrencies have experienced nearly double-digit or higher gains on Monday, well above the price increases seen among the main crypto assets, likely fuelled by recent announcements of new developments from AI and tech giants in the US. 

More Cryptocurrencies News

Addressing the crypto investor dilemma: To invest or not? Premium

Addressing the crypto investor dilemma: To invest or not?

Bitcoin’s consolidation crosses the two-month mark but shows no signs of a breakout or a directional move. Investors waiting with bated breath for a volatile move remain confused about whether to buy the dips or keep some cash reserves for a rainy day.

More Bitcoin News

Bitcoin: Should you buy BTC here? Premium

Bitcoin: Should you buy BTC here?

Bitcoin (BTC) price shows signs of a potential reversal but lacks confirmation, which has divided the investor community into two – those who are buying the dips and those who are expecting a further correction.

Read full analysis

BTC

ETH

XRP