- Popular analyst Willy Woo noted that BTC’s organic investor velocity provides it with strong, safe haven properties.
- The relative strength index (RSI) is hovering in the overbought zone signaling a short-term bearish correction.
After finding support at the 50-day SMA, Bitcoin has steadily climbed from $10,600 to $13,800 in three weeks between October 7 to October 27. Since then, the premier cryptocurrency has managed to settle itself around $13,415. Despite this Wednesday’s bearish movement, the overall outlook so far has been bullish.
Bitcoin decoupling from stocks
Popular BTC analyst Willy Woo noted that BTC is effectively decoupling away from the SP500. In the image below, the BTC/USD price has two different charts superimposed on each other. One is speculative trading that correlates to the SP500 index (SPX), while the other is the NVT price. Bitcoin`s NVT is calculated by dividing the Network Value (market cap) by the daily USD volume transmitted through the blockchain.
In simple words, the NVT represents the organic investor velocity on the Bitcoin blockchain. This price happens to be climbing upward and uncorrelated and preventing speculators from trading the correlation downwards. This shows that even if the stock market collapses, Bitcoin looks strong and secure enough not to follow trends and provide good safe haven properties.
First signs of de-coupling behaviour spotted between BTC and stocks.
— Willy Woo (@woonomic) October 29, 2020
Buying from an influx of new users provides price support preventing speculators from trading the correlation downwards.
NVTP approximates a valuation for BTC with organic investor velocity on the blockchain. pic.twitter.com/AvilB9cfdD
Bitcoin to face short-term bearish correction?
As previously mentioned, BTC bulls have managed to regain control of the market following a bearish Wednesday. The benchmark coin is currently trading for $13,415. A break above the $13,745 could see it cross $15,000. However, the relative strength index (RSI) is hovering in the overbought zone, which could trigger a short-term bearish correction, instead.
BTC/USD daily chart
To determine the price's downside potential, let’s take a close look at IntoTheBlock’s IOMAP. The price is sitting on top of a healthy support wall at $13,200, wherein a million addresses had previously purchased 583,000 BTC. A break below this takes us to the next moderate support at $12,775. A further break takes the price all the way down to $11,600.
BTC IOMAP
Key price levels to watch
Bitcoin buyers will want to overcome the $13,745 that thwarted the price this Wednesday. A break above that could see the price cross $15,000.
The downside for the sellers is effectively capped off at $13,200. If the price does break below that, the support wall at $12,775 should absorb the residual selling pressure.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Latest Crypto News & Analysis
Editors’ Picks
Shiba Inu enters 96% bull run as whales continue accumulating SHIB
Ethereum whale bought $11.5 million worth of SHIB tokens on Tuesday. Shiba Inu token has reached 783,739 holders, large wallet investors accumulate SHIB tokens through the dip. SHIB was briefly the cryptocurrency with the largest turnover on exchanges Binance and Coinbase on Monday.
Three reasons why MATIC price will breakout to a new all-time high at $4.5
MATIC price breached a crucial resistance level that has prevented it from rallying four times over the past four months. The recent attempt seems to have an extra oomph behind it, hinting that this run-up could trigger a massive move.
XLM price eyes 55% breakout if Stellar bulls can flip one crucial barrier
XLM price has been stuck trading under a crucial blockade for nearly five months. The situation is set to change soon, however, as Stellar coils up for an explosive breakout.
Terra's Do Kwon files lawsuit against SEC while analysts turn bullish on LUNA
Do Kwon, Terraform Labs CEO, was served a subpoena by the SEC while appearing at Messari's Mainnet conference. According to Do Kwon and Terraform Labs' lawsuit against the SEC, the regulatory agency lacks jurisdiction over the plaintiffs.
Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: Markets revert to mean, but BTC price remains indecisive
Bitcoin price shows considerable strength after springing from the recent crashes. Still, it is uncertain whether the current bullish impulse will morph into a new uptrend or lead to a more profound decline.