|

AVAX price could drop to $55 despite recent Bitcoin adoption

  • AVAX price shows a grim outlook as it breaches below the parallel channel’s lower trend line.
  • A 17% descent is likely for Avalanche price if it slices through the $61 support floor.
  • The markets have failed to react to the recent adoption of Bitcoin.

AVAX price rose 153% from September 7 to September 23, which was an amazing run-up. However, the popularized Avalanche is currently facing a setback and looks ready for a downswing.

Texas takes Bitcoin adoption to a new level

Texas appears to be the safe zone for migrating miners from across the world after the recent China ban. Moreover, Texas Governor Greg Abbott seems to be a fan of the space. Abbott has met twice with the Texas Blockchain Council, which is launching a summit that will host speakers like Senator John Cornyn (R-TX), Ted Cruz (R-TX) and Senator Cynthia Lummis (R-WY). 

While the US regulators are taking their time regulating cryptocurrencies, stablecoins and their issuers, El Salvador President Nayib Bukele teased a Bitcoin mining facility powered by volcanoes.

Bitcoin’s adoption rate is like never before, yet the big crypto and altcoins like Avalanche show no signs of a sustained bullish move. In fact, after the October 1 pump, both BTC and AVAX are looking to head lower.

AVAX price shatters crucial support floor

AVAX price rose a whopping 150% in 16 days, but the ascent slowed down after a September 23 swing high at $79.68. This ascent set up two distinctive higher highs and two higher lows. When these swing points are connected using trend lines, it results in the formation of an ascending parallel channel.

Since the local top on September 23, Avalanche dropped 13% as it retested the parallel channel’s lower trend line. However, the increased selling pressure pushed it below it, leading to a breakout.

As AVAX price tags the $65 support floor, the bearish momentum likely continues to build. Moreover, Bitcoin price is also looking weak, adding a tailwind to the pessimistic scenario. Therefore, a breakdown of $65 and subsequent barrier at $61.1 will retest the $55.36 demand barrier.

This move would constitute a 17% downswing from the current position.

AVAX/USDT 12-hour chart

AVAX/USDT 12-hour chart

On the other hand, if AVAX price manages to bounce off the $65 support floor and reenter the parallel channel, it could signal a resurgence of buyers. Such a move could hold the key to a new uptrend if it can produce a swing high above $79.68.

Author

Akash Girimath

Akash Girimath is a Mechanical Engineer interested in the chaos of the financial markets. Trying to make sense of this convoluted yet fascinating space, he switched his engineering job to become a crypto reporter and analyst.

More from Akash Girimath
Share:

Editor's Picks

Top 3 Price Prediction: BTC gains strength as ETH and XRP selling eases

Top three cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple, are holding steady on Wednesday after a bullish close the previous day. The mild recovery hints at an extended rally as the prevailing bearish pressure eases. Bitcoin trades at $82,930 on Wednesday, holding a bullish near-term bias following a mild rebound the previous day.

Ethereum staking hits record, but yield and fee revenue fall

Ethereum staking reached a record 43.8 million ETH in Q3 2026 amid a decline in annualized staking yields, according to crypto asset manager Bitwise. In its Q4 staking report on Tuesday, Bitwise stated that staked Ether accounted for 35.9% of the asset’s total supply by the end of the quarter. Net staking inflows reached 1.99 million ETH, marking the sixth straight quarter of growth.

 Bitcoin resumes Nasdaq correlation as macro pressures threaten $82,500 support

Bitcoin's correlation with the Nasdaq is rising again after last week's decline alongside tech stocks, even as macro pressures place the $82,500 support at risk. In a report on Tuesday, K33 Research highlighted that Bitcoin has resumed its correlation with the tech-heavy Nasdaq after last week's price movements.

 Bitcoin resumes Nasdaq correlation as macro pressures threaten $82,500 support
Bitcoin's (BTC) correlation with the Nasdaq is rising again after last week's decline alongside tech stocks, even as macro pressures place the $82,500 support at risk. In a report on Tuesday, K33 Research highlighted that Bitcoin has resumed its correlation with the tech-heavy Nasdaq after last week's price movements.
Bitcoin: Macroeconomic headwinds, cooling demand cap BTC gains
Bitcoin (BTC) extends losses this week, trading below $82,500 as of Friday as selling pressure continues. Weakening institutional demand supports this pullback as BTC spot Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) are on track to record a two-week withdrawal streak, reaching $146.19 million in net outflows through Thursday.