Weekly waves: EUR/USD, Bitcoin, and gold

EUR/USD faces decisive support zone

The EUR/USD monthly chart is testing a key support zone and trend line (green):

1. The EUR/USD is facing a decisive moment: will price action break or bounce?

2. The EUR/USD bullish bounce would confirm a potential ABCDE (pink) triangle pattern within wave B (red). 

3. Price action needs to break above the opening of this month and last month’s high. An ABC up could be expected within wave E (pink).

4. The EUR/USD bearish breakout would indicate an immediate downtrend. In that case, price action completed an ABC (pink) correction and is making a decline within a 123 (pink) of wave C (red).

BTC/USD bearish swing to rebound at Fibs

Bitcoin has made a small bearish reversal. Is the crypto currency looking for a downtrend or for a bounce, let’s review:

1. The BTC/USD made a bearish reversal, which means that the bullish pattern is probably an ABC (blue) pattern.

2. However, we expect price action to develop a larger bullish correction within wave B (purple).

3. Therefore, a bullish and expanded WXY (pink) pattern is the current favorite Elliott Wave pattern in wave B (purple).

4. A bullish bounce at the Fibonacci support levels would confirm it.

5. But a bearish breakout below the support zone would indicate it.

6. The main targets are located at the Fibonacci targets.

Gold pushing for a bullish breakout

The XAU/USD has made a bullish bounce and is now testing the resistance:

1. The XAU/USD made a strong push up for a wave 3 (blue).

2. The retracement is probably a wave 4 (blue), although the wave 4 can be extended and complete itself at a later moment in time (blue 4’).

3. A breakout (green arrows) above the resistance (orange) could indicate an attempt to test the previous top.

4. A break below the previous tops (blue boxes) would invalidate the bullish outlook.

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The analysis has been done with the indicators and template from the SWAT method simple wave analysis and trading. For more daily technical and wave analysis and updates, sign-up to our newsletter