Weekly Trades: GBP/USD, GBP/CHF and GBP/JPY

Brian Twomey Brian's Investment

For this week's trades, GBP/USD, GBP/JPY and GBP/CHF as not only did GBP/USD and GBP/CHF close at 1.2926 but GBP/USD and GBP/CHF fits into my NZD analysis as currency prices serve as support and resistance levels against each other.

Big line breaks for lower GBP/USD, GBP/CHF and GBP/JPY are located at 1.2759, 1.2681 and 138.62. See GBP/CHF 1.2681 holds GBP/USD at 1.2759 and 1.3862 GBP/JPY trades far above both GBP/USD and GBP/CHF.

GBP/CHF must move down in order for GBP/USD to trade lower. As GBP/CHF trades lower then former GBP/CHF supports translates to GBP/USD supports on the way down. GBP/JPY becomes the follower to GBP/CHF and GBP/USD.

If GBP/CHF fails to move down then GBP/USD is well supported by GBP/CHF and won't trade lower. This translates to GBP/JPY non ability to trade lower and this situation serves for all GBP pairs.

GBP/CHF contains higher ranges than GBP/USD by design and GBP/JPY contains higher ranges than GBP/USD and GBP/CHF. GBP/USD is stuck dead center as a middle range currency pair and requires movement from GBP/JPY or GBP/CHF in order to provide direction.

Actual commentary should state GBP/USD moved higher to GBP/CHF X Point or lower at GBP/CHF support because mathematically, supports and resistance points are perfect. Applies to targets as perfect mathematical points. But then nobody would understand actual commentary.

A break of GBP/USD 1.2759 targets 1.2610 on a break of 1.2685. GBP/CHF below 1.2681 targets 1.,2509 on a break of 1.2595. And GBP/JPY below 138.62 targets 136.47 on a break at 137.54.

Overall GBP strategy this week is short at higher levels.

GBP/USD

Short 1.2982 and 1.3019 to target 1.2833. Must cross 1.2945, 1.2908 , 1.2871 and 1.2859.

Short below 1.2759 to target 1.2685. Must cross 1.2722.

GBP/CHF

Short 1.2939 and 1.2982 to target 1.2766. Must cross 1.2896, 1.2853 and 1.2810. Short below 1.2681 to target 1.2595.

GBP/JPY

Short 141.80 and 142.33 to target 139.85. Must cross 141.27, 140.74, 140.47 and 140.20.

Author

Brian Twomey

Brian's Investment

Brian Twomey is an independent trader and a prolific writer on trading, having authored over sixty articles in Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities and Investopedia.

AUD/USD weakens to multi-month lows; challenges 0.6800

AUD/USD has come under heightened downside pressure, briefly slipping back below the 0.6800 yardstick on Thursday. Indeed, the pair has revisited levels last seen in late January in response to the continuation of the bullish momentum favouring the Greenback, which remained propped up by rising bets over extra Fed tightening.

USD/JPY eases from near 160.00 amid looming intervention risks, BoJ hike bets

USD/JPY retreats slightly from an over two-month high as the recent surge back to the 160.00 psychological mark prompted verbal warnings from Japanese authorities and sparked fears of direct FX intervention. Moreover, data showed that Japan’s wholesale inflation picked up again in October, strengthening the case for a BoJ hike in December and lifting the Japanese Yen. However, a bullish US Dollar, bolstered by odds of a jumbo Fed rate hike in December, could cap the pair's downside.

Gold shifts the focus to $3,800 amid stronger US Dollar

Gold comes under heightened downside pressure, retreating for the third consecutive day and approaching the $3,800 region per troy ounce on Thursday. Increasing speculation of a 50-bps rate hike by the Fed in December continues to weigh on the precious metal amid further gains in US Treasury yields.

Dogecoin Price Forecast: DOGE tests three-year low as selling pressure deepens

Dogecoin (DOGE) trades lower around $0.0650 on Thursday, as bears tighten their grip. The path of least resistance remains downward not only for the largest meme coin by market capitalization but also for crypto majors Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP). DOGE is down about 2.6% on the day, aligning with levels last seen in October 2023.

Nvidia shares crash as Jensen Huang resigns as CEO

Nvidia (NVDA) shares collapsed in Thursday's premarket after longtime CEO and co-founder Jensen Huang resigned as CEO in the face of board scrutiny over several affairs. Nvidia shares have shed 10% at the time of writing as the leading AI chipmaker chose chief financial officer (CFO) Colette Kress as interim CEO.

What the US CPI headline doesn’t tell you about inflation

Brent crude has fallen about a third since mid-October on hopes the Iran war is ending, but diesel, freight and fertiliser costs haven't followed. Those costs reach US consumer prices in stages through 2027 and could keep inflation high after gasoline gets cheaper.