We love when a plan comes together: Natural gas position review

Raj Ian G Thijm, MBA Raj Time and Cycles

In our previous edition published last week, we projected that if the market (Henry Hub Natural Gas (NGX21) Futures) broke below $5.480-5.568 support, we would then readjust our long position to lower levels above $5.073-5.147 support.

So, this is exactly what the market did (after rebounding a few times on the same level), and thus an opportunity arose on Tuesday to enter just above this new projected support (just look how prices got rejected back up after almost touching it…).

We suggested that an appropriate stop would be placed just below $4.766 in order for a target to be $5.663-5.790, and the market hit that target yesterday by topping at the $ 5.964 level on the futures contract! – See Fig. 1

Trading Chart

Figure 1 – Henry Hub Natural Gas (NGX21) Futures (November contract, daily chart)

Our trading approach has led us to suggest some long trades around key supports, as natural gas recently offered a few opportunities to take advantage of dips onto those projected levels.

Author

Raj Ian G Thijm, MBA

Raj Time and Cycles

I have been actively involved in the Financial Markets since August 1987. After receiving my B.S.

EUR/USD tests nine-day EMA support near 1.1850

EUR/USD remains in the negative territory for the fourth successive session, trading around 1.1870 during the Asian hours on Friday. The 14-day Relative Strength Index momentum indicator at 56 stays above the midline, confirming steady momentum. RSI has eased but remains above 50, indicating momentum remains constructive for the bulls.

GBP/USD consolidates around 1.3600 vs. USD; looks to US CPI for fresh impetus

The GBP/USD pair remains on the defensive through the Asian session on Friday, though it lacks bearish conviction and holds above the 1.3600 mark as traders await the release of the US consumer inflation figures before placing directional bets.

Gold recovers swiftly from weekly low, climbs back closer to $5,000 ahead of US CPI

Gold regains positive traction during the Asian session on Friday and recovers a part of the previous day's heavy losses to the $4,878-4,877 region, or the weekly low. The commodity has now moved back closer to the $5,000 psychological mark as traders keenly await the release of the US consumer inflation figures for more cues about the Federal Reserve's policy path.