SpeciaL feature - A lesson in market psychology

Friday, May 13, 2022 India bans wheat exports -

Please see the July Wheat Chart below. 

As you can see, the market went higher for two more days,

making its peak on May 17, one day past the Lunar Eclipse. Please note that high is lower than the March peak.

Friday, May 20, the market closed below the price on May 13, at the time of the Indian Wheat export ban.

At the time of the Indian announcement, I said that could mark a major high in Wheat So far that is looking correct. 

Recap 5/20 – Friday, the S&P gapped open up 27 handles and then rallied another 15 handles a 9:43 AM high of the day. From that high, the S&P declined 133 handles into a 1:30 PM low of the day and for a new 2022 low at 3810.32 . From that low, the S&P rallied 34 handles into a 1:57 PM high.

From that high, the S&P pulled back 24 handles into a 2:33 PM low. From that low, the S&P rallied 32 handles into a 2:54 PM high. From that high the S&P declined 23 handles into a 3:13 PM low. From that low, the S&P rallied 73 handles into the close. 

 

5/20 – The major indices, had a strong open and then had a huge decline into an early afternoon low. The low achieved by the S&P 500, put that Index into bear market territory as Wall Street defines a Bear Market as a decline of 20% or more from a high. The 2022 high for the S&P 500 Index was

4818,62 on January 04, 2022. 20% from that high is 3854.90. From Friday’s low, the S&P and the other indices had a huge recovery rally to close almost unchanged for the day per the following closes: DJIA + 8.77; S&P 500 + 0.57; and the Nasdaq Composite - 33.88.

Looking ahead – Our next change in trend point is 5/23 AM. A strong up open, carrying over from Friday’s strong close, could set up a short term high in the first few hours. Please see details below.

The Now Index is in the BUY ALERT ZONE. This is a cautionary signal that there is a moderate imbalance of too many shorts. 

This is not an outright buy signal. 

Coming events

(Stocks potentially respond to all events).

  • A. 5/23 AM – Jupiter 90 US Venus. Major change in trend US Stocks, T-Bonds, US Dollar.
  • 5/24 AC – Geo Mars enters Aries. Important change in trend Corn, Gold, OJ, Silver, Sugar, Wheat.
  • 5/27 AC – Mercury Aphelion. Major change in trend Corn, Oats, Soybeans, Wheat.
  • 5/27 AC – Jupiter 45 US Moon. Moderate change in trend US Stocks, T-Bonds, US Dollar.
  • 5/27 AC – Jupiter Parallel Latitude Neptune. Major change in trend Commodity Index, Oats, Oil.
  • 5/27 AC– Helio Saturn Contra-Parallel Uranus. Major change in trend Cattle, Coffee, Copper, Cotton.
  • 5/27 AC – New Moon in Gemini. Major change in trend Financials, Grains, Precious Metals

Stock market key dates

5/28 (Sat.) = 8,100 (90^2) days > 3/24/2000 MAJOR TOP.

Fibonacci – 5/28.

Astro – 5/23, *5/27*.

Please see below the S&P 500 10 minute chart.

Support - 3810, 3790 Resistance – 3980.

Please see below the S&P 500 Daily chart.

Support - 3810, 3790 Resistance – 3980.

Please see below the April Planetary Index chart with S&P 500 10 minute bars for results.

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