Yesterday’s signals were not triggered, as there was no bullish price action at 0.6557.

Today’s NZD/USD Signals

Risk 0.75%.

Trades may only be taken between 8am New York time and 5pm Tokyo time, during the next 24-hour period.

Short Trades

  • Short entry following bearish price action on the H1 time frame immediately upon the next touch of 0.6579 or 0.6635.

  • Place the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.

  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.

  • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the trade is 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to ride.

Long Trades

  • Long entry following bullish price action on the 1H1 time frame H1H1H1 time frame immediately upon the next touch of 0.6532 or 0.6497.

  • Place the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.

  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.

  • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the trade is 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to ride.

The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.

NZD/USD Analysis

I wrote yesterday that the medium-term picture was bullish, but the price was having difficulty advancing beyond the round number at 0.6600. If the nearby support levels at 0.6579 or 0.6557 hold then that would be a bullish sign suggesting that we can expect a further rise to come. These levels did not hold, and although the price has recovered somewhat after yesterday’s fall, these were good pivotal levels to judge whether being bullish was worth it.

The price is now in a wide-swinging consolidation pattern, and there is some evidence that the nearest support level at 0.6531 has already had an effect and pushed the price up. I have no directional bias on this pair today, and I think the best potential opportunity is likely to come at a failure to break above the resistance at 0.6579. If this level is tested and holds, it is likely to be a bearish sign later.

NZDUSD

There is nothing important due today concerning either the NZD or the USD.

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD holds below 1.0750 ahead of key US data

EUR/USD holds below 1.0750 ahead of key US data

EUR/USD trades in a tight range below 1.0750 in the European session on Friday. The US Dollar struggles to gather strength ahead of key PCE Price Index data, the Fed's preferred gauge of inflation, and helps the pair hold its ground. 

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD consolidates above 1.2500, eyes on US PCE data

GBP/USD consolidates above 1.2500, eyes on US PCE data

GBP/USD fluctuates at around 1.2500 in the European session on Friday following the three-day rebound. The PCE inflation data for March will be watched closely by market participants later in the day.

GBP/USD News

Gold clings to modest daily gains at around $2,350

Gold clings to modest daily gains at around $2,350

Gold stays in positive territory at around $2,350 after closing in positive territory on Thursday. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges lower ahead of US PCE Price Index data, allowing XAU/USD to stretch higher.

Gold News

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000 Premium

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000

Bitcoin’s recent price consolidation could be nearing its end as technical indicators and on-chain metrics suggest a potential upward breakout. However, this move would not be straightforward and could punish impatient investors. 

Read more

US core PCE inflation set to signal firm price pressures as markets delay Federal Reserve rate cut bets

US core PCE inflation set to signal firm price pressures as markets delay Federal Reserve rate cut bets

The core PCE Price Index, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is seen as the more influential measure of inflation in terms of Fed positioning. The index is forecast to rise 0.3% on a monthly basis in March, matching February’s increase. 

Read more

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures