European equities have made tentative gains today following the shock collapse of markets last week. The Greek affair clearly has had a profound impact upon sentiment and despite much of the Grexit risk being mitigated, the technical chartists among us will notice that there has been a lot of bearish price patterns that simply cannot be undone.
The Greek crisis may not be as far away as thought, with Alexis Tsipras revealing that Syriza's hardliners could force an early election to gain a parliamentary majority. The €86 billion bailout will be unlikely to emerge prior to the 20 August deadline, as creditors will require a relatively stable country which has the right structure in place to implement the controversial austerity measures.
Twitter's rollercoaster continues, with a rise in earnings leading to an 11% gain, only to be erased as investors realise that without a clear succession plan for the CEO, coupled with slowing user growth, the firm will continue to languish despite its enviable user base.
Crude oil prices spiked higher following the latest US inventories figure, which posted a weekly fall of 4.2 million barrels. The gradual drawdown of historically high stockpiles means that despite a steady move towards something like normality, the supply and demand picture remains out of kilter, a fact reflected in the six-month low seen in Brent yesterday.
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EUR/USD edges lower toward 1.0700 post-US PCE
EUR/USD stays under modest bearish pressure but manages to hold above 1.0700 in the American session on Friday. The US Dollar (USD) gathers strength against its rivals after the stronger-than-forecast PCE inflation data, not allowing the pair to gain traction.
GBP/USD retreats to 1.2500 on renewed USD strength
GBP/USD lost its traction and turned negative on the day near 1.2500. Following the stronger-than-expected PCE inflation readings from the US, the USD stays resilient and makes it difficult for the pair to gather recovery momentum.
Gold struggles to hold above $2,350 following US inflation
Gold turned south and declined toward $2,340, erasing a large portion of its daily gains, as the USD benefited from PCE inflation data. The benchmark 10-year US yield, however, stays in negative territory and helps XAU/USD limit its losses.
Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000 Premium
Bitcoin’s recent price consolidation could be nearing its end as technical indicators and on-chain metrics suggest a potential upward breakout. However, this move would not be straightforward and could punish impatient investors.
Week ahead – Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too
Fed meets on Wednesday as US inflation stays elevated. Will Friday’s jobs report bring relief or more angst for the markets? Eurozone flash GDP and CPI numbers in focus for the Euro.