|

Live Coverage: US CPI inflation may trigger Gold recovery, USD correction

Has the door closed on the 50-bps cut? Not so fast. US Core CPI may still sway skeptic markets, rocking Gold, the US Dollar and indices. Live coverage. 

Join FXStreet Premium to ask analysts questions live, leverage actionable analysis and get Gold and signal alerts. 

CPI inflation lands on skeptical markets

No fewer than 254K jobs were created in September – leaving markets convinced that the strength of the US economy may even cause doves at the Federal Reserve (Fed) to prefer a smaller, 25-bps rate cut. However, if inflation falls, there is still room for some optimism about faster slashes to borrowing costs. 

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is set to show an ongoing decline in inflation in September, allowing the world's most powerful central bank to take its foot off the pedal. 

While the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) is a challenge for traders – a good outcome lowers the chances of fast rate cuts but is good news for the economy – it's straightforward with inflation. 

A strong CPI report is Gold bearish, stocks bearish, US Dollar bullish.

A weak CPI report is Gold bullish, stocks bullish, US Dollar bearish. 

The No. 1 figure to watch is core CPI MoM, which is the best representation of what the Fed cares about – recent developments in underlying inflation. 

Live financial market coverage

FXStreet covers major economic releases in a live blog format, to provide readers an instant verdict of the data, rapid analysis of key assets, and for Premium members, the abilty to ask our experts questions in real time. 

FXStreet Premium 

FXStreet Premium provides subscribers access to analysts, exclusive actionable analysis, signals, Ed Ponsi's webinars, trade plans and a bullish/bearish indicator for Gold on critical events. Join FXStreet Premium here.

Premium

You have reached your limit of 3 free articles for this month.

Start your subscription and get access to all our original articles.

Subscribe to PremiumSign In

Author

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

FXStreet

Yohay is in Forex since 2008 when he founded Forex Crunch, a blog crafted in his free time that turned into a fully-fledged currency website later sold to Finixio.

More from Yohay Elam
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD remains below 1.1750 ahead of ECB policy decision

EUR/USD remains on the back foot below 1.1750 in the European session on Thursday. Traders move to the sidelines and refrain from placing any fresh directional bets on the pair ahead of the ECB policy announcements and the US CPI inflation data. 

GBP/USD stays defensive below 1.3400, awaits BoE and US CPI

GBP/USD oscillates in a narrow band below 1.3400 in European trading on Thursday. The pair trades with caution as markets eagerly await the BoE policy verdict and US consumer inflation data for fresh directional impetus. 

Gold holds losses below $4,350 ahead of US CPI report

Gold struggles to capitalize on the previous day's move higher and holds its pullback below $4,350 in the European session on Thursday. The downtick could be attributed to some profit-taking amid a US Dollar bounce. All eyes now remain on the US CPI inflation data. 

BoE set to resume easing cycle, trimming interest rate to 3.75%

The Bank of England will announce its last monetary policy decision of 2025 on Thursday at 12:00 GMT. The market prices a 25-basis-point rate cut, which would leave the BoE’s Bank Rate at 3.75%.

US CPI data expected to show inflation rose slightly to 3.1%, cooling Fed rate cut bets for January

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the all-important Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for November on Thursday at 13:30 GMT. The CPI inflation in the US is expected to rise at an annual rate of 3.1% in November

Dogecoin Price Forecast: DOGE breaks key support amid declining investor confidence

Dogecoin (DOGE) trades in the red on Thursday, following a 4% decline on the previous day. The DOGE supply in profit declines as large wallet investors trim their portfolios. Derivatives data shows a surge in bearish positions amid declining retail interest.