BOJ maintained its optimistic view : Oct 7, 2015

07 Oct 2015 03:10GMT

USD/JPY - ..... Reuters later reported the BoJ held off on expanding stimulus on Wednesday, even as slumping exports and falling oil prices threaten its rosy projection that the economy is on track to hit its ambitious 2% inflation target next year.

But lingering fears of recession will keep the central bank under pressure to ease at a more crucial meeting on Oct. 30, when it is expected to cut its long-term economic and price forecasts, analysts say.
For now, the BOJ maintained its optimistic view that while exports and output have been hurt by slowing emerging market growth, Japan's economy continues to recover moderately.

Japan's economy shrank in April-June and some analysts expect another contraction in July-September on slumping global demand and weak consumption.
Core consumer prices slid in August to mark the first annual drop since the BOJ deployed its massive stimulus programme more than 2 years ago, casting doubt on whether heavy money printing alone can accelerate inflation to 2%.

BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda may struggle to convince markets at his post-meeting news conference that the economy can emerge from the doldrums without additional monetary support, analysts say.

In a semi-annual review of its forecasts on October 30, the BOJ is set to slash its economic growth forecasts and push back the timing for achieving its price target, sources say.
The BOJ now expects inflation to hit 2% by around September next year, a forecast many analysts criticise as too ambitious.