|

EUR/JPY aims to start its next bullish wave [Video]

EURJPY minimized its gains and losses around the 142.90 level after an extremely volatile day within the 144.37-141.36 region on Monday. 

Traders may pay special attention to the 142.90 area, which has been a key constraining zone since September and currently the lower boundary of a bullish channel. This is also where the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the 148.38-137.37 downleg is placed.

The technical signals are mixed at the moment as the RSI is fluctuating around its 50 neutral mark and the MACD keeps decelerating below its red signal line. That said, the stochastic oscillator is looking to exit the oversold area, and given that it was a better indicator of previous upside reversals, some recovery in the coming sessions cannot be excluded. It's also worthy to note that the 50-day SMA has avoided a bearish cross with the 200-day SMA, raising hopes that the uptrend from 137.37 may develop higher.  

Hence, if the price stays within the channel, the spotlight will turn again to the 144.00 number. A successful penetration higher could trigger a rally towards the 145.20 resistance territory. Should the bulls persist, the recovery could pick up steam towards the channel's upper boundary at 146.45.

Alternatively, if the 142.90 base cracks, the focus will shift to the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) and the 142.00 number. Should the bears claim that zone, the decline could ramp up towards the lower ascending trendline drawn from the 2022 low seen around 140.45. The 23.6% Fibonacci around 140.00 may come next under consideration.

Summing up, EURJPY is looking neutral in the short-term picture. A close below 142.90 could activate fresh selling orders, while a bounce above the 144.00 level is probably required to boost market sentiment. 

Chart

Author

Christina Parthenidou

Christina joined the XM investment research department in May 2017. She holds a master degree in Economics and Business from the Erasmus University Rotterdam with a specialization in International economics.

More from Christina Parthenidou
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD retreats toward 1.1700 on modest USD recovery

EUR/USD stays under mild bearish pressure and trades below 1.1750 on Friday. Although trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, the modest recovery seen in the US Dollar causes the pair to edge lower. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes near 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades marginally lower on the day at around 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold advances toward $4,400 and gains more than 1.5% on the day after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking heading into the end of the year. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).