|

EUR/USD: Soft reaction for the Euro, is well defending 1,07 for now

The single European currency has stabilized for now between the levels of 1,07 - 1,0750 after the new losses suffered during Thursday.

Yesterday had quite a lot of interest from macroeconomic data announcements with the growth path of the German & USย  economyย  ย standing out.

ฮคhe German GDP announcement was particularly troubling as it showed signs of contraction and if this contraction widens at the eurozone level it will make the job of the European Central Bank in the fight against inflation even more difficult.

ฮŸn the other side of the atlantic the US economy continues to hold good growth rates , outlook remain positive and yesterday's announcement was a pleasant surprise.

The result of yesterday's announcements particularly favored the American currency which was driven to new local high levels against the euro.

In any case, the losses for the European currency were extremely limited and as I mentioned in a previous article, it does not look ready to collapse without showing signs of a reaction, something that is often observed with great fidelity.

In general the market picture remains the same , the Euro currency is in a mildy pressured environment which have sent itย  almost 400 basis points below the 1,11 level and I estimate that these losses will not be much extend for now.

ฮ‘nd today's agenda is of some interest with the personal consumption index and durable goods orders from the United States standing out.

I will stick to yesterday's thinking and avoid any posithions in favorย  of the US currency at these levels, while on the contrary the buy positions of the euro every time it marks new local lows is not a bad idea , as the reaction is quite likely.

Author

Vasilis Tsaprounis

Vasilis Tsaprounis

Independent Analyst

Vassilis Tsaprounis possesses over 25 years of professional experience in Capital Markets and especially in the foreign exchange market.

More from Vasilis Tsaprounis
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).