|

ETH/USD forms a rising wedge pattern, signalling a potential retreat

Global stocks were little changed on Friday as investors reacted to the breakthrough in the US Senate that prevented the country from running out of money in the coming weeks. The stop-gap measure will give Democrats an opportunity to come up with a reconciliation bill to expand the debt ceiling. Analysts believe that global stocks would have declined sharply if the US government had defaulted on its obligations. Stocks also rose as investors wait for the upcoming earnings season that will start next week. Some of the top companies that will publish their results next week are Blackrock, Netflix, and JP Morgan.

The price of crude oil rose sharply today as investors remained concerned about the supply and demand dynamics. Earlier this week, OPEC decided to maintain status quo, meaning that the cartel will continue adding 400k barrels per month. At the same time, many US producers have committed to growing their production at a slower pace than expected. Meanwhile, demand is expected to rise substantially as the world economy recovers. Analysts at the EIA and API expect that demand will rise to more than 100.8 million barrels per day in 2022. Therefore, some analysts believe that the price of Brent will likely rise to more than $100 soon.

The USDCAD pair declined after the latest jobs numbers from the United States and Canada. Data by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) showed that the American economy added just 194k jobs in September. The jobs numbers were worse than the adjusted 366k jobs that were added in the previous month. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate declined to 4.8% in May while wages continued to rise. Elsewhere, in Canada, the economy added 157k jobs while the unemployment rate fell to 6.9%.

USD/CAD

The USDCAD pair declined to a low of 1.2534 after the latest jobs numbers from the US and Canada. This was the lowest level it has been since September 7. On the four-hour chart, the pair declined below the 25-day and 50-day moving averages. The pair also moved below the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern. Oscillators are also supportive of the bearish trend. Therefore, the pair will likely keep falling in the near term.

USDCAD

EUR/USD

The EURUSD pair tilted higher after the latest NFP data. The pair is trading at 1.1563, which was above this week’s low of 1.1528. On the four-hour chart, the price is still below the short and longer-term moving averages while the MACD is slightly below the neutral line. The pair is also forming a bearish flag pattern. Therefore, it will likely continue the bearish trend, with the next key level to watch being at 1.1500.

EURUSD

ETH/USD

The ETHUSD pair was little changed today. It is trading at 3,612, which is slightly below this week’s high of 3,680. On the four-hour chart, the pair is slightly above the short and longer moving averages. At the same time, it has formed a rising wedge pattern. In technical analysis, a rising wedge is usually a bearish signal. Therefore, the pair will likely break out lower during the weekend.

ETHUSD

Author

OctaFx Analyst Team

OctaFX is a market-leading forex broker, providing personalised forex brokerage services to customers in over 100 countries worldwide.

More from OctaFx Analyst Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD drops to daily lows near 1.1630

EUR/USD now loses some traction and slips back to the area of daily lows around 1.1630 on the back of a mild bounce in the US Dollar. Fresh US data, including the September PCE inflation numbers and the latest read on December consumer sentiment, didn’t really move the needle, so the pair is still on course to finish the week with a respectable gain.

GBP/USD trims gains, recedes toward 1.3320

GBP/USD is struggling to keep its daily advance, coming under fresh pressure and retreating to the 1.3320 zone following a mild bullish attempt in the Greenback. Even though US consumer sentiment surprised to the upside, the US Dollar isn’t getting much love, as traders are far more interested in what the Fed will say next week.

Gold makes a U-turn, back to $4,200

Gold is now losing the grip and receding to the key $4,200 region per troy ounce following some signs of life in the Greenback and a marked bounce in US Treasury yields across the board. The positive outlook for the precious metal, however, remains underpinned by steady bets for extra easing by the Fed.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pare gains despite increasing hopes of upcoming Fed rate cut

Bitcoin is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Ethereum remains above $3,100, reflecting positive sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting on December 10.

Week ahead – Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low.

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs.