|

Equities: Strict cost control behind good CEVT results

Macro, FX, Rates: Zloty's sell-off calms

(PL) Politics, FX: The Polish zloty has some found ground yesterday as domestic political tensions eased after President Duda's announced his decision to veto two of three laws, which could lead to a controversial reform of the Polish Justice. Under the reform the government could easily replace all judges of the Supreme Court, which was heavily criticized by the European Commission. As a result of president's decision the EUR/PLN dropped four figures (from 4.27 to 4.23), but it has been trading back at around the 4.25 level. Clearly, the market does not think that the crisis is over, although the presidential veto can be overruled by a threefifths majority vote in the presence of at least half of the statutory number of members of the Sejm (230). Recall that the ruling Law and Just has only 234 of deputies in the Sejm, which has 460 members (hence, quite clearly short of the three-fifths).

Nevertheless, the Polish forex market might still wait whether the presidential veto will be really applied (Polish president has now three weeks to do in formal way). Meanwhile, the zloty (like other emerging markets) could also face some uncertainty ahead tomorrow's FOMC meeting.

Equities: Strict cost control behind good CEVT results

(CZ) CEVT: CME released its 2Q17 results, which were a notch above estimates on the operating lines, fuelled by a strict cost control. Czech and Slovakian markets performed well, while a first signs o recovery starting to be visible in Bulgaria, what is positive news. On the other hand Romanian's growth decelerated significantly. Hence, a recovery of Czech and Slovakian operation continued also in 2Q17 with like-for-like revenues growing 5.0% y/y and 11.3% y/y respectively (in local currencies). On the other hand Romanian's growth decelerated significantly (+2.3% y/y vs. +25% y/y seen in 1Q17). Bulgaria posts 3.5% l-f-l revenues growth, printing the first signs of recovery.

Recall that the OIBDA line was positively affected by benefits from finished restructuring process, 1% contents costs decline and 14% other operating costs decline (y/y). As a consequence, OIBDA beat market consensus by 4.3% and offset a bit weaker core revenues (1.1% below estimates).

Last but not least, net profit was supported by lower interest costs (down from USD 29.5mn to USD 21.9mn) on refinancing of high yield notes.\

(PL) MIL: Bank Millennium reported net income for the 2Q that beat the highest analyst estimate. 2Q net income reached PLN 173.6mn, beating 6% the market consensus. The positive surprise comes fully on the 2.5% NII beat.

 LASTPREVIOUSCHANGE (%)
EURCZK26.0126.03-0.08
EURHUF305.6305.60.13
EURPLN4.2584.2570.02
 LASTPREVIOUSCHANGE (bps)
CZGB 10Y1.0090.9892.0
HUGB 10Y3.083.070.4
PLGB 10Y3.273.260.4
 LASTPREVIOUSCHANGE (%)
PX1011.21007.70.35
BUX35277353630.24
WIG61858618280.05


Download The Full Sunrise Market Commentary

Author

More from KBC Market Research Desk
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD hits two-day highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD picks up pace and reaches two-day tops around 1.1820 at the end of the week. The pair’s move higher comes on the back of renewed weakness in the US Dollar amid growing talk that the Fed could deliver an interest rate cut as early as March. On the docket, the flash US Consumer Sentiment improves to 57.3 in February.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold climbs further, focus is back to 45,000

Gold regains upside traction and surpasses the $4,900 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, shifting its attention to the critical $5,000 region. The move reflects a shift in risk sentiment, driving flows back towards traditional safe haven assets and supporting the yellow metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid risk-off, $2.6 billion liquidation wave

Bitcoin edges up above $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as dust from the recent macro-triggered sell-off settles. The leading altcoin, Ethereum, hovers above $1,900, but resistance at $2,000 caps the upside. Meanwhile, Ripple has recorded the largest intraday jump among the three assets, up over 10% to $1.35.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.