Bye bye QE3


US

Bye bye QE3


After almost two years, the Fed will exit from quantitative easing. It will however not end its accommodative bias for a long while.

Eurozone

Fall 2014 update on the cyclical environment


Several factors are straining Europe’s cyclical environment. Both growth and inflation will near zero in the months ahead. The ECB will come under increasing pressure to purchase public debt securities, an option that remains politically tricky, without German support.

The EMU opts for a fiscal pause

In 2015, fiscal policy will be virtually neutral in the eurozone. Before disclosing its verdict, the European Commission has asked for additional information about some countries, including France and Italy.

Greece

Recovery in question


Positive growth is insight for Greece. However, the slowdown in the eurozone and Turkey will limit the magnitude of the rebound. More crucially, political uncertainty is increasing. An early election next spring is now the most likely outcome.

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