Daily Insight


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Daily Insight

  • Busy night of news with releases from Europe, US and UK.

  • The BoE surprised the markets by being less dovish to see Cable rebound from the multi-month low. Strong retail sales may see an extension of this move.

  • EURUSD has drifted to resistance and we have several key data points from the Eurozone. Any weakness here should see it firmly back below 1.60

  • Then over to the US for employment, inflation and manufacturing data. Plenty here to get most markets moving if we miss expectations enough, in any direction.


TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:

GOLD: Watching $1180

Gold

Whilst I suspect that Gold has formed a swing high at $1204, at time of writing I do not like how price meanders around $1108-83 and would prefer to see it below this resistance level.

That said at some stage we do need to take a punt, so we could consider shorting into any retracement within yesterday's range to assume a swing highs has been seen.

Any break above this level would favour $1108-83 becoming support and for price continue its way to the upper Bollinger Band.

EURUSD: May have seen end of the correction

EURUSD

For a view of D1 and further details on this trade please see yesterday's post: EURUSD drifts towards 1.60 resistance

Price has tested the 1.605 resistance zone with a spike on higher volume. This suggests there has been a 'change in hands' at these levels and raises the potential for a top to have formed.

Keep in mind that spikes in isolation do not pinpoint with accuracy a top, as it is common to see several spikes around the same area. In fact I am hoping for another attempt to break higher so I can fade into it with a tighter stop / or move my stop further buying 1.605 to (hopefully) see EURUSD return to the bearish trend.

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