|

CAD/CHF sellers attempt to break a range [Video]

CAD/CHF is trading in a bearish manner on the four-hour chart. The pair has been trending downward since early September and after a short-term consolidation between 0.72308 and 0.71851, sellers are attempting to resume the downtrend by attacking the range support at 0.71851. the narrowing Bollinger bands also exhibit a consolidation in the market, that demonstrates a condition called squeeze, signalling a probable new movement is going to emerge.

If the current bearish bias that Wednesday’s morning trade is witnessing persists, the price will likely break the 0.71851 hurdle. Such a move can put 0.71724 in the spotlight. A further decline below this level can result in settling the price around the 0.71565 mark, which is in line with the %161.8 Fibonacci projection from the last upswing that occurred on Tuesday. Suppose sellers clear this obstacle. In that case, the way will be opened towards the lower support levels at 0.71390 and 0.71106, respectively.

Otherwise, if buyers get back to the market, defending the 0.71851, the price may stay in the current range, attempting to reach the immediate resistance around the previous top of 0.72308, which lines up with the 50-EMA, in the upper side of the Bollinger bands.

Short-term momentum oscillators support a bearish sentiment. RSI is edging down in the selling region, suggesting bears are in charge. Momentum also keeps falling below the 100-threshold. Likewise, MACD bars are plunging into negative territory.

Author

Ali Mortazavi

BEc, CMSA, Member of IFTA - International Federation of Technical Analysis, Associate Member of STA - Society of Technical Analysis (UK).

More from Ali Mortazavi
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: US Dollar to remain pressured until uncertainty fog dissipates

Unimpressive European Central Bank left monetary policy unchanged for the fifth consecutive meeting. The United States first-tier employment and inflation data is scheduled for the second week of February. EUR/USD battles to remain afloat above 1.1800, sellers moving to the sidelines.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold: Volatility persists in commodity space

After losing more than 8% to end the previous week, Gold remained under heavy selling pressure on Monday and dropped toward $4,400. Although XAU/USD staged a decisive rebound afterward, it failed to stabilize above $5,000. The US economic calendar will feature Nonfarm Payrolls and Consumer Price Index data for January, which could influence the market pricing of the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook and impact Gold’s performance.

Week ahead: US NFP and CPI data to shake Fed cut bets, Japan election looms

US NFP and CPI data awaited after Warsh’s nomination as Fed chief. Yen traders lock gaze on Sunday’s snap election. UK and Eurozone Q4 GDP data also on the agenda. China CPI and PPI could reveal more weakness in domestic demand.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.