|

WTI traders take intermediate clues from US-China tension ahead of OPEC+ meeting

  • WTI nears $58.00 while concentrating on the US-China trade/political tension.
  • Geopolitical problems in Iran seem to have less impact.
  • Saudi Arabia’s likely resistance to production cuts make next week’s OPEC+ the key.

WTI drops to the intra-day low of $58.07 by the press time of early Friday in Asia. The energy benchmark seems to have negatively affected by the sluggish demand outlook due to the US-China tussle. Though, traders are more concerned for the next week’s meeting of major oil producers in Vienna.

Geopolitical tension concerning Iran can be considered as a counterforce to the latest tension between the United States (US) and China. Iran’s protests, even after turning softer, still give troubles to the policymakers and they blame the US for that, as per the UK Express.

On the contrary, China is likely to blacklist the writers of the Hong Kong Act, as per Global Times, in retaliation to the US President’s latest move. However, headlines are yet to turn negative for the phase-one deal among the world’s top two economies.

Moving on, Saudi Arabia’s Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman will host his first meeting of Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and their allies including Russia, popularly known as OPEC+, during December 05/06 in Vienna. The oil leader has recently started arguing against the global production cuts while claiming to be the lone bearer of that burden. As a result, investors will keep a close eye on next week’s OPEC+ meeting for near-term oil moves.

Read: OPEC, OPEC and more OPEC will be what oil markets will be all about next week

There has been some chatter by the Goldman Sachs’ analysts about recovery in global and the US economies in 2020 while JP Morgan favored global growth rebound. However, none of this could please oil traders much ahead of the next week’s key event.

Technical Analysis

Monthly high surrounding $58.80 holds the key to late-September tops near $59.40 and then a consequent rise to $60.00. On the downside, $57.30 and $54.90 can offer the following supports if prices slip beneath $58.00.

additional important levels

Overview
Today last price58.09
Today Daily Change-0.23
Today Daily Change %-0.39%
Today daily open58.32
 
Trends
Daily SMA2057.29
Daily SMA5055.78
Daily SMA10055.93
Daily SMA20057.64
 
Levels
Previous Daily High58.32
Previous Daily Low57.69
Previous Weekly High58.76
Previous Weekly Low54.89
Previous Monthly High56.97
Previous Monthly Low51.19
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%58.08
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%57.93
Daily Pivot Point S157.9
Daily Pivot Point S257.48
Daily Pivot Point S357.27
Daily Pivot Point R158.53
Daily Pivot Point R258.74
Daily Pivot Point R359.16

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD holds range below 1.3650 amid Iran risks

GBP/USD extends its sideways consolidative price move for the second straight day and trades below 1.3650 in Tuesday's European session. The US Dollar is looking to build on its modest recovery amid US sanctions on Iran, acting as a headwind for the pair. The lack of follow-through selling warrants some caution for bearish traders.

EUR/USD struggles near 1.1650 as USD recovers amid Mideast woes

EUR/USD is struggling to gain traction, while trading near 1.1650 in European trading on Tuesday. The pair fails to find support amid a modest US Dollar recovery as rising oil prices, elevated bond yields, and escalating Middle East tensions fuel risk-off trades. Germany IFO Survey is next in focus.

Gold remains depressed below $4,650 on firmer USD, Fed risks, and Middle East tensions

Gold remains on the back foot below $4,650 through the first half of the European session. However, the lack of follow-through selling warrants caution before positioning for an extension of the intraday retracement slide from the $4,700 neighborhood, or the highest level since May 14, touched earlier this Tuesday. The US Dollar is seen building on its recovery from a three-month low as inflation risks stemming from volatile energy prices keep bets for at least one interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve on the table.

Bitcoin tops $80,000 as US Treasury fights high yields – AERO, VIRTUAL rally

Bitcoin extends gains above $80,000 as broader market risk-on sentiment persists. The scarce asset could extend its rally as the US Treasury combats high yields in the long-dated bond market, with further interventions on the horizon. Aerodrome Finance (AERO) and Virtuals Protocol (VIRTUAL) emerged as top performers over the last 24 hours.

The forex market is switching to a ‘debasement trade’
The US dollar has stabilised near three-month lows thanks to a rapid recovery in Treasury bond yields. Yields on 30-year bonds are returning to the levels seen following the Treasury’s announcement that it was increasing the minimum purchase volume to $4 billion. The greenback got support from falling stock indices, the continued rally in Brent crude, and positive signals from the US economy.
$20 billion offered, $2 billion taken: Why Treasury doubled its buyback cap

The US Treasury moved off its own calendar on Wednesday, and that is the part worth sitting with. At 12:32 GMT, the department said it would at least double the size of liquidity support buyback operations in the 10-year to 20-year and 20-year to 30-year sectors, lifting the maximum from $2 billion per operation to at least $4 billion, effective September 9 and running to November 4.