|

WTI Price Analysis: Risks further falls towards $58 mark whilst below 50-DMA

  • WTI sellers return following rejection at 50-DMA resistance at $60.32.
  • The US oil could risk a drop towards the ascending trendline support at $57.85.
  • RSI trades flat while within the bearish zone, pointing to more losses.  

WTI (futures on NYMEX) is snapping two-day bullish momentum on Thursday, as it returns to the red zone despite the upbeat market mood and broad-based US dollar decline.

The sentiment around the black gold remains undermined by an unexpected build in the American gasoline inventories, which overshadowed the drawdown in the crude stockpiles recorded last week.

From a near-term technical perspective, the WTI barrel remains exposed to the downside after it failed to find acceptance above the 50-daily moving average (DMA) at $60.32 for the third day in a row.

Adding credence to a potential move lower, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) keeps its bearish streak intact, as the indicator remains below the 50.00 level.

The ascending trendline support at $57.85 is expected to guard the downside, below which the March 23 low of $57.27 could be tested.

WTI one-day chart

On the flip side, WTI faces immediate resistance at the upward-sloping 50-DMA.

Further up the bearish 21-DMA at $61.46 could limit the recovery attempts.

WTI additional levels

WTI

Overview
Today last price59.31
Today Daily Change-0.19
Today Daily Change %-0.32
Today daily open59.58
 
Trends
Daily SMA2061.57
Daily SMA5060.18
Daily SMA10054.23
Daily SMA20047.4
 
Levels
Previous Daily High60.06
Previous Daily Low58.15
Previous Weekly High62.25
Previous Weekly Low58.88
Previous Monthly High67.87
Previous Monthly Low57.27
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%59.33
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%58.88
Daily Pivot Point S158.47
Daily Pivot Point S257.36
Daily Pivot Point S356.57
Daily Pivot Point R160.38
Daily Pivot Point R261.17
Daily Pivot Point R362.28

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD drops to multi-week lows below 1.3300

GBP/USD sets aside Friday’s uptick and breaches below the 1.3300 yardstcik on Monday to hit new multi-week troughs. Falling crude oil prices following a pause in the Middle East conflict in combination with the recent soft reading in UK inflation appear to play against any BoE tightening ahead of the bank’s event later in the week.

EUR/USD meets support near 1.1370

EUR/USD fades the initial bull run past 1.1400 the figure, deflating toward the 1.1370 zone on Monday. That said, the pair reverses two daily drops in a row on the back of the irresolute price action in the US Dollar, at the time when investors continue to closely follow developments from the Middle East conflict. Next on tap is the release of the US Consumer Confidence gauge by the Conference Board.

Gold extends the drop below $4,050 on bullish USD

Gold extends the drop below $4,050 in the Asian session on Tuesday amid a bullish US Dollar. The downside seems limited as traders might opt to wait for the outcome of a two-day FOMC policy meeting on Wednesday. Furthermore, a pause in US-Iran hostilities led to a slump in Oil prices, easing inflationary concerns and tempering bets for Fed rate hikes, which could limit the Gold price pullback.

Ethereum: BitMine buys back over 6 million shares, scoops 10K ETH

Ethereum treasury firm BitMine Immersion Technologies increased its share buybacks last week while scooping extra tokens into its ETH stash. The Las Vegas-based firm bought back 6.1 million shares of its common stock last week, following a 5.5 million share purchase the prior week.

Neither Hormuz nor Oil at $120: Why Japanese bond yields are the real market threat
While geopolitical headlines continually send traders rushing to the Oil charts, history shows that the biggest market moves often begin when liquidity disappears, not when crude spikes. Rising bond yields, particularly in Japan and Switzerland, threaten to trigger the unwinding of one of the largest leveraged trades in financial history.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.