|

WTI Price Analysis: Risks further falls towards $58 mark whilst below 50-DMA

  • WTI sellers return following rejection at 50-DMA resistance at $60.32.
  • The US oil could risk a drop towards the ascending trendline support at $57.85.
  • RSI trades flat while within the bearish zone, pointing to more losses.  

WTI (futures on NYMEX) is snapping two-day bullish momentum on Thursday, as it returns to the red zone despite the upbeat market mood and broad-based US dollar decline.

The sentiment around the black gold remains undermined by an unexpected build in the American gasoline inventories, which overshadowed the drawdown in the crude stockpiles recorded last week.

From a near-term technical perspective, the WTI barrel remains exposed to the downside after it failed to find acceptance above the 50-daily moving average (DMA) at $60.32 for the third day in a row.

Adding credence to a potential move lower, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) keeps its bearish streak intact, as the indicator remains below the 50.00 level.

The ascending trendline support at $57.85 is expected to guard the downside, below which the March 23 low of $57.27 could be tested.

WTI one-day chart

On the flip side, WTI faces immediate resistance at the upward-sloping 50-DMA.

Further up the bearish 21-DMA at $61.46 could limit the recovery attempts.

WTI additional levels

WTI

Overview
Today last price59.31
Today Daily Change-0.19
Today Daily Change %-0.32
Today daily open59.58
 
Trends
Daily SMA2061.57
Daily SMA5060.18
Daily SMA10054.23
Daily SMA20047.4
 
Levels
Previous Daily High60.06
Previous Daily Low58.15
Previous Weekly High62.25
Previous Weekly Low58.88
Previous Monthly High67.87
Previous Monthly Low57.27
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%59.33
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%58.88
Daily Pivot Point S158.47
Daily Pivot Point S257.36
Daily Pivot Point S356.57
Daily Pivot Point R160.38
Daily Pivot Point R261.17
Daily Pivot Point R362.28

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD keeps range near mid-0.7100s as USD bulls await US CPI

AUD/USD steadies near mid-0.7100s in the Asian session on Friday, stalling the previous day's sharp decline to an over one-week low. The August PPI report reaffirmed Fed rate-hike bets and boosted the US Dollar on Thursday, which weighed heavily on the pair. However, hawkish RBA expectations limited losses for the Aussie as USD bulls now await the release of the US consumer inflation figures before placing fresh bets.

USD/JPY holds lower ground toward 154.00; looks to US CPI

USD/JPY holds lower ground toward 154.00 in the Asian session on Friday after hot Japanese PPI data bolster a more hawkish BoJ repricing and provide fresh impetus to the Japanese Yen. However, the downside appears capped as the US Dollar preserves overnight gains ahead of the latest US consumer inflation data.

Gold moves away from one-week low, climbs above $4,450 as USD edges lower ahead of CPI

Gold builds on its modest intraday recovery from the $4,300 neighborhood, or a one-and-a-half-week low, touched earlier this Friday, and climbs above $4,350 heading into the European session. The upside potential, however, seems limited as traders opt to wait for the release of US consumer inflation figures before placing directional bets.

Cardano approaches critical support as correction risks grow
Cardano (ADA) recovers slightly, trading at $0.206 at the time of writing on Friday, inches above the critical support zone after losing more than 6% so far this week. Weakening derivatives data and fading bullish momentum suggest a bearish near-term outlook, with a decisive close below the support zone potentially triggering a deeper correction for ADA.
US core CPI data set to ease in August as markets reprice Fed September rate decision

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the August Consumer Price Index data on Friday. The report is expected to show a small decline in annual core inflation. Any divergence from analysts’ estimates could influence the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook and impact the US Dollar’s valuation.

Venezuela’s 65-billion-barrel Oil deal could reshape America’s inflation fight
The United States (US) has secured unprecedented access to part of Venezuela’s vast Oil reserves. The timing is particularly significant as the war with Iran is disrupting Middle Eastern supplies, keeping energy prices elevated and reviving concerns about inflation.