|

WTI Price Analysis: Regains $78.00 within weekly rising wedge

  • WTI seesaws inside a choppy range after snapping a three-day uptrend the previous day.
  • Bearish chart formation, and sluggish oscillators keep sellers hopeful.
  • 200-HMA adds to the downside filters before targeting late 2022 low.

WTI crude oil picks up bids to regain $78.00 during early Friday, following its U-turn from a one-week high to print the first daily loss in four on Thursday. It’s worth noting that the black gold’s latest inaction could be linked to sluggish MACD signals and steady RSI (14).

Even so, a one-week-old rising wedge bearish chart formation, currently between $77.30 and $79.30, keeps the Oil sellers hopeful, especially after the previous day’s retreat from the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the quote’s downturn from January 23 to February 03.

That said, a clear downside break of the $77.30 support will need validation from the 200-Hour Moving Average (HMA) support of $76.96 to convince the energy bears.

Following that, the monthly bottom of $72.50 can act as a buffer during the south run targeting the latest multi-month low surrounding $70.30, marked in December 2022. It should be observed that the $70.00 round figure could probe the WTI sellers past $70.30.

Alternatively, WTI recovery could aim for another battle with the aforementioned key Fibonacci retracement hurdle of around $78.80.

Even if the commodity manages to cross the $78.80 hurdle, the stated wedge’s top line, close to $79.30 at the latest, will precede the $80.00 psychological magnet to challenge the quote’s further upside.

Overall, WTI crude oil remains on the bear’s radar despite the latest inaction.

WTI: Hourly chart

Trend: Further downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price77.93
Today Daily Change0.12
Today Daily Change %0.15%
Today daily open77.81
 
Trends
Daily SMA2078.91
Daily SMA5077.47
Daily SMA10080.85
Daily SMA20090.21
 
Levels
Previous Daily High79
Previous Daily Low76.71
Previous Weekly High80.61
Previous Weekly Low73.36
Previous Monthly High82.68
Previous Monthly Low72.64
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%77.59
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%78.13
Daily Pivot Point S176.68
Daily Pivot Point S275.55
Daily Pivot Point S374.39
Daily Pivot Point R178.97
Daily Pivot Point R280.13
Daily Pivot Point R381.26

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD retreats toward 1.1500 despite ECB rate hike

EUR/USD stays under bearish pressure and declines toward 1.1500 in the American session on Thursday. Although the European Central Bank raised key rates by 25 bps after the June meeting, the pair struggles to hold its ground as US President Donald Trump's renewed threat to hit Iran weighs on sentiment and supports the US Dollar.

GBP/USD extends slide below 1.3350 on renewed USD demand

GBP/USD is falling below the 1.3350 level in the American session on Thursday. Increased hawkish Fed bets and looming Mideast geopolitical risks sponsor the latest leg up in the US Dollar, particularly after the Producer Price Index jumped to 6.5% YoY in May.

Gold challenges fresh 2025 lows below $4,100

Gold struggles to stage a rebound and trades below $4,100 in the American session on Thursday. Mixed producer inflation data from the US and a further escalation of tensions in the Middle East don't allow the precious metal to shake off the bearish pressure.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound broadens despite continued US-Iran strikes

Bitcoin steadies its recovery on Thursday, edging higher toward $63,000 despite incessant capital outflows. Meanwhile, altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple, exhibit subtle rebound signs, trading above $1,650 and $1.12, respectively.

Indonesia surprise rate hike may not be enough to save the Rupiah

The surprise rate hike from Bank Indonesia, aimed at protecting the Indonesian Rupiah from sliding further, seems to have worked for now. The rate increase definitely helps, but there’s more work to do if Jakarta wants to ease investors’ concerns for good.

4.2% headline, 0.2% core: Why the Fed's next hike may be targeting the wrong problem

May's CPI put headline inflation at 4.2% on the year, up from 3.8% in April and the hottest reading since April 2023, while core prices rose just 0.2% on the month, undershooting the 0.3% consensus and halving April's pace.