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WTI Price Analysis: Recovery remains elusive below $80.00

  • WTI keeps rebound from six-week low, sidelined of late.
  • 100-HMA, weekly resistance line guards immediate upside, 200-HMA, 50% Fibonacci retracement also challenge the bulls.
  • July’s peak, bullish MACD signals restrict immediate downside.

WTI holds onto the strongest daily performance in over a week, not to forget the bounce off 1.5-month low during early Friday morning in Asia. That said, the black gold seesaws around $78.25-20 by the press time.

While July’s top put a carpet under the commodity’s downturn and MACD signals helped buyers to return, strong resistance levels do challenge the quote to defy the four-week downtrend.

Among the key hurdles, the first one comprises the 100-HMA and a descending trend line from November 09, near $78.90. Following that, a convergence of the 200-HMA and 50% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of November 09-18 fall, close to the $80.00 threshold, will be a tough nut to crack for the WTI bulls.

In a case where the energy benchmark rises past $80.00, the weekly top near $80.70 and November 11 peak of $81.13 will be in focus.

Alternatively, pullback moves need to conquer the July month’s top of $76.40 to convince WTI crude oil sellers and aim for the 100-DMA level near $73.90.

Overall, WTI bears seem to have run out of steam but the bulls aren’t fully ready.

WTI: Hourly chart

Trend: Further recovery expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price78.23
Today Daily Change0.58
Today Daily Change %0.75%
Today daily open77.65
 
Trends
Daily SMA2081.28
Daily SMA5077.92
Daily SMA10073.81
Daily SMA20069.15
 
Levels
Previous Daily High79.95
Previous Daily Low76.89
Previous Weekly High83.59
Previous Weekly Low78.77
Previous Monthly High84.98
Previous Monthly Low74.06
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%78.06
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%78.78
Daily Pivot Point S176.38
Daily Pivot Point S275.1
Daily Pivot Point S373.31
Daily Pivot Point R179.44
Daily Pivot Point R281.23
Daily Pivot Point R382.51

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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