WTI Price Analysis: Recovery remains elusive below $80.00


  • WTI keeps rebound from six-week low, sidelined of late.
  • 100-HMA, weekly resistance line guards immediate upside, 200-HMA, 50% Fibonacci retracement also challenge the bulls.
  • July’s peak, bullish MACD signals restrict immediate downside.

WTI holds onto the strongest daily performance in over a week, not to forget the bounce off 1.5-month low during early Friday morning in Asia. That said, the black gold seesaws around $78.25-20 by the press time.

While July’s top put a carpet under the commodity’s downturn and MACD signals helped buyers to return, strong resistance levels do challenge the quote to defy the four-week downtrend.

Among the key hurdles, the first one comprises the 100-HMA and a descending trend line from November 09, near $78.90. Following that, a convergence of the 200-HMA and 50% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of November 09-18 fall, close to the $80.00 threshold, will be a tough nut to crack for the WTI bulls.

In a case where the energy benchmark rises past $80.00, the weekly top near $80.70 and November 11 peak of $81.13 will be in focus.

Alternatively, pullback moves need to conquer the July month’s top of $76.40 to convince WTI crude oil sellers and aim for the 100-DMA level near $73.90.

Overall, WTI bears seem to have run out of steam but the bulls aren’t fully ready.

WTI: Hourly chart

Trend: Further recovery expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 78.23
Today Daily Change 0.58
Today Daily Change % 0.75%
Today daily open 77.65
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 81.28
Daily SMA50 77.92
Daily SMA100 73.81
Daily SMA200 69.15
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 79.95
Previous Daily Low 76.89
Previous Weekly High 83.59
Previous Weekly Low 78.77
Previous Monthly High 84.98
Previous Monthly Low 74.06
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 78.06
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 78.78
Daily Pivot Point S1 76.38
Daily Pivot Point S2 75.1
Daily Pivot Point S3 73.31
Daily Pivot Point R1 79.44
Daily Pivot Point R2 81.23
Daily Pivot Point R3 82.51

 

 

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