|

WTI Price Analysis: Mildly bid around $103.50 inside bearish pennant

  • WTI dribbles inside a bearish chart pattern around six-week low.
  • Steady RSI and sustained trading below 100-HMA favor bears.
  • Eight-day-old resistance line adds to the upside filters.

WTI crude oil traders lick their wounds near $103.50, up 0.15% intraday, heading into Friday’s European session. In doing so, the black gold remains inside a two-day-old bearish pennant formation while taking rounds to the lowest levels in six weeks.

It’s worth noting that the quote’s failure to rise past 100-HMA and steady RSI, together with the aforementioned pennant, gives rise to hopes of witnessing the further downside.

However, a clear break of the $103.00 becomes necessary for the WTI bears to retake control.

Following that, the theory suggests a $20.00 slump in commodity prices. However, the recent low near $101.00 and the $100.00 psychological magnet may act as additional validation points for the commodity’s further downside.

Meanwhile, recovery moves should cross the pennant’s resistance line, at $105.20 by the press time, to recall the buyers.

Even so, the 100-HMA level of $106.40 and a downward sloping resistance line from June 14, close to $108.50 at the latest, could challenge the WTI crude oil’s further upside.

In a case where the black gold rises past $108.50, the $110.00 appears to be the last defense for the bears.

WTI: Hourly chart

Trend: Further weakness expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price103.52
Today Daily Change0.19
Today Daily Change %0.18%
Today daily open103.33
 
Trends
Daily SMA20114.17
Daily SMA50109.09
Daily SMA100104.38
Daily SMA20091.03
 
Levels
Previous Daily High106.45
Previous Daily Low101.81
Previous Weekly High121.02
Previous Weekly Low106.2
Previous Monthly High118.66
Previous Monthly Low97.21
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%103.58
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%104.68
Daily Pivot Point S1101.28
Daily Pivot Point S299.23
Daily Pivot Point S396.64
Daily Pivot Point R1105.92
Daily Pivot Point R2108.5
Daily Pivot Point R3110.55

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady near 1.1750 on first trading day of 2026

EUR/USD stays calm on Friday and trades in a narrow channel at around 1.1750 as trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes above 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and moves sideways above 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold reverses its direction and advances toward $4,400 after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking before the New Year holiday. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).