WTI Price Analysis: Further downside hinges on $79.80 break


  • WTI braces for first weekly loss in three on breaking 50-SMA, fortnight-long trend line.
  • U-turn from two-month-old resistance, bearish MACD signals also keeps sellers hopeful.
  • Ascending trend line from early January challenges immediate downside.

WTI crude oil remains on the back foot as it braces for the first weekly loss, after a fortnight of an uptrend, amid early Thursday in Europe.

The black gold’s latest weakness could be linked to its failure to cross the horizontal resistance area comprising multiple hurdles marked since early December 2022. Also, a clear downside break of the two-week-old ascending trend line and the 50-SMA joins the bearish MACD signals to bolster the downside bias.

However, an upward-sloping support line from January 06, close to $79.80 by the press time, restricts the nearby downside of the black gold.

Following that, the previous weekly low near $78.50 could act as an additional downside filter, a break of which may recall the Oil bears targeting the $70.00 round figure. During the fall, the monthly low and December’s bottom could probe the sellers around $72.60 and $70.25 in that order.

Alternatively, 50-SMA restricts WTI’s immediate upside near $80.70 ahead of the support-turned-resistance line from mid-January, close to $81.70 at the latest.

It’s worth noting, however, that the WTI bulls need to offer a successful break of the two-month-old horizontal hurdle surrounding $82.80, to retake control.

WTI: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 80.43
Today Daily Change -0.21
Today Daily Change % -0.26%
Today daily open 80.64
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 78.5
Daily SMA50 77.86
Daily SMA100 81.69
Daily SMA200 91.63
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 81.31
Previous Daily Low 79.54
Previous Weekly High 82.67
Previous Weekly Low 78.48
Previous Monthly High 83.3
Previous Monthly Low 70.27
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 80.63
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 80.21
Daily Pivot Point S1 79.68
Daily Pivot Point S2 78.72
Daily Pivot Point S3 77.91
Daily Pivot Point R1 81.45
Daily Pivot Point R2 82.27
Daily Pivot Point R3 83.23

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD consolidates weekly gains above 1.1150

EUR/USD consolidates weekly gains above 1.1150

EUR/USD moves up and down in a narrow channel slightly above 1.1150 on Friday. In the absence of high-tier macroeconomic data releases, comments from central bank officials and the risk mood could drive the pair's action heading into the weekend.

EUR/USD News
GBP/USD stabilizes near 1.3300, looks to post strong weekly gains

GBP/USD stabilizes near 1.3300, looks to post strong weekly gains

GBP/USD trades modestly higher on the day near 1.3300, supported by the upbeat UK Retail Sales data for August. The pair remains on track to end the week, which featured Fed and BoE policy decisions, with strong gains. 

GBP/USD News
Gold extends rally to new record-high above $2,610

Gold extends rally to new record-high above $2,610

Gold (XAU/USD) preserves its bullish momentum and trades at a new all-time high above $2,610 on Friday. Heightened expectations that global central banks will follow the Fed in easing policy and slashing rates lift XAU/USD.

Gold News
Week ahead – SNB to cut again, RBA to stand pat, PCE inflation also on tap

Week ahead – SNB to cut again, RBA to stand pat, PCE inflation also on tap

SNB is expected to ease for third time; might cut by 50bps. RBA to hold rates but could turn less hawkish as CPI falls. After inaugural Fed cut, attention turns to PCE inflation.

Read more
Bank of Japan set to keep rates on hold after July’s hike shocked markets

Bank of Japan set to keep rates on hold after July’s hike shocked markets

The Bank of Japan is expected to keep its short-term interest rate target between 0.15% and 0.25% on Friday, following the conclusion of its two-day monetary policy review. The decision is set to be announced during the early Asian session. 

Read more
Moneta Markets review 2024: All you need to know

Moneta Markets review 2024: All you need to know

VERIFIED In this review, the FXStreet team provides an independent and thorough analysis based on direct testing and real experiences with Moneta Markets – an excellent broker for novice to intermediate forex traders who want to broaden their knowledge base.

Read More

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures