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WTI Price Analysis: Further downside hinges on $79.80 break

  • WTI braces for first weekly loss in three on breaking 50-SMA, fortnight-long trend line.
  • U-turn from two-month-old resistance, bearish MACD signals also keeps sellers hopeful.
  • Ascending trend line from early January challenges immediate downside.

WTI crude oil remains on the back foot as it braces for the first weekly loss, after a fortnight of an uptrend, amid early Thursday in Europe.

The black gold’s latest weakness could be linked to its failure to cross the horizontal resistance area comprising multiple hurdles marked since early December 2022. Also, a clear downside break of the two-week-old ascending trend line and the 50-SMA joins the bearish MACD signals to bolster the downside bias.

However, an upward-sloping support line from January 06, close to $79.80 by the press time, restricts the nearby downside of the black gold.

Following that, the previous weekly low near $78.50 could act as an additional downside filter, a break of which may recall the Oil bears targeting the $70.00 round figure. During the fall, the monthly low and December’s bottom could probe the sellers around $72.60 and $70.25 in that order.

Alternatively, 50-SMA restricts WTI’s immediate upside near $80.70 ahead of the support-turned-resistance line from mid-January, close to $81.70 at the latest.

It’s worth noting, however, that the WTI bulls need to offer a successful break of the two-month-old horizontal hurdle surrounding $82.80, to retake control.

WTI: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price80.43
Today Daily Change-0.21
Today Daily Change %-0.26%
Today daily open80.64
 
Trends
Daily SMA2078.5
Daily SMA5077.86
Daily SMA10081.69
Daily SMA20091.63
 
Levels
Previous Daily High81.31
Previous Daily Low79.54
Previous Weekly High82.67
Previous Weekly Low78.48
Previous Monthly High83.3
Previous Monthly Low70.27
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%80.63
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%80.21
Daily Pivot Point S179.68
Daily Pivot Point S278.72
Daily Pivot Point S377.91
Daily Pivot Point R181.45
Daily Pivot Point R282.27
Daily Pivot Point R383.23

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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