|

WTI Price Analysis: Bulls flirt with $48.00 as 100-HMA restricts immediate downside

  • WTI holds wavers around intraday high while flashing mild gains.
  • Strong RSI, likely shift in MACD signals also favor energy buyers above short-term key moving average.
  • $49.00 holds the key to monthly high during the further run-up.

WTI prints 0.55% gains while taking rounds to $48.00 ahead of Tuesday’s European session. In doing so, the energy benchmark keeps 100-HMA as the key support while respecting signals from RSI and the MACD.

That said, the black gold currently aims 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of its December 18-23 downturn, around $48.20, a break of which will propel the quote towards the weekly high, as well as multiple lows marked on December 18, near $49.00.

If at all the commodity bulls manage to cross the $49.00 threshold, the monthly peak and early February lows near $49.40/45 hold the keys to the further upside towards the $50.00 round-figure.

Meanwhile, a downside break of 100-HMA, currently near $47.70, can have $47.50/55 as an intermediate before eyeing the $47.00 support.

In a case where the oil sellers keep reins past-$47.00, $46.60 and the December 23 bottom surrounding $46.20 can return to the chart ahead of highlighting the monthly low near $44.00.

WTI hourly chart

Trend: Bullish

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price48
Today Daily Change0.26
Today Daily Change %0.54%
Today daily open47.74
 
Trends
Daily SMA2047.04
Daily SMA5043.3
Daily SMA10042.04
Daily SMA20037.51
 
Levels
Previous Daily High49
Previous Daily Low47.57
Previous Weekly High49.26
Previous Weekly Low46.19
Previous Monthly High46.31
Previous Monthly Low33.85
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%48.12
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%48.45
Daily Pivot Point S147.2
Daily Pivot Point S246.66
Daily Pivot Point S345.76
Daily Pivot Point R148.64
Daily Pivot Point R249.54
Daily Pivot Point R350.08

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD flirts with tops near 1.3470

GBP/USD manages to regain composure and challenge the area of daily highs around 1.3470 on Friday. Cable picks up pace despite marginal gains in the Greenback in a context of swelling geopolitical tensions and rising global oil prices.

EUR/USD trims losses, back above 1.1500

EUR/USD picks up some pace and bouces off earlier lows, reclaiming the 1.1500 threshold and beyond at the end of the week. The pair’s modest pullback follows a persistent risk-averse market mood and renewed buying interest for the US Dollar.

Gold: The $4,000 mark holds the downside for now

Gold faces renewed selling pressure, falling sharply toweard the $4,000 mark per troy ounce as the US Dollar regains momentum. Escalating US-Iran tensions are keeping inflation concerns and expectations of further Fed rate hikes alive, weighing further on the yellow metal.

Bitcoin eyes 50-day EMA breakout, Ethereum consolidates, XRP steadies

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple trade near key technical levels on Friday as the broader cryptocurrency market pauses following last week's recovery. BTC is approaching the 50-day Exponential Moving Average while ETH continues to consolidate between two major EMAs.

Warsh needs to restore his reputation
We were glad to see our deeply negative reaction to the Warsh press conference was not some personal peculiarity. Just about everybody in the financial press felt the same way. The consensus is building it’s not the Fed in the dog-house but only Warsh. Today the WSJ changed it tune and blasted Warsh—"the honeymoon is already over..”
9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.