WTI Price Analysis: A pullback towards $100.00 is on the cards


  • The 200-EMA is providing a cushion to the asset.
  • A re-test of the descending triangle chart pattern will put forward a bargain buy for investors.
  • The RSI (14) seems to tumble near the oversold trajectory.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, has witnessed a steep fall since Monday after failing to sustain above the barricade of $108.00 on Monday. The asset has experienced a sheer downside and is balancing near the 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which is at $101.48.

On a four-hour scale, the oil prices are facing selling pressure after a strong rally post the breakout of the descending triangle formation. The horizontal support of the chart pattern is placed from March 15 low at $92.37 while the descending trendline is plotted from March 8 high at $126.51. The asset has slipped below the 20-EMA at $104.20, which signals a short-lived downside move.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has slipped back to near 40.00 after oscillating in a bullish range of 60.00-80.00. This reflects a best-case scenario of entering into a bullish asset at oversold levels. The momentum oscillator is more likely to find support near the 30.00-40.00 range.

A pullback towards the psychological support of $100.00 will be a bargain buy for the market participants, which will send the asset towards April 13 high at $104.02, followed by Monday’s high at $109.13.

On the flip side, the asset may lose strength if it drops below April 8 high at $98.26. This will drag oil prices to March 15 low and February 25 low at $92.37 and $89.59 respectively.

WTI four-hour chart

WTI US OIL

Overview
Today last price 102.33
Today Daily Change -4.59
Today Daily Change % -4.29
Today daily open 106.92
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 103.66
Daily SMA50 100.33
Daily SMA100 88.87
Daily SMA200 81.42
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 109.13
Previous Daily Low 105.4
Previous Weekly High 107
Previous Weekly Low 92.65
Previous Monthly High 126.51
Previous Monthly Low 92.37
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 107.7
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 106.82
Daily Pivot Point S1 105.17
Daily Pivot Point S2 103.43
Daily Pivot Point S3 101.45
Daily Pivot Point R1 108.9
Daily Pivot Point R2 110.87
Daily Pivot Point R3 112.62

 

 

 

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