|

WTI looks to monthly high above $43.00 as Houthis attack Saudi Aramco

  • WTI refreshes the intraday high during the latest recovery moves from $42.33.
  • Yemen’s Houthis claim to fire missiles at Saudi Aramco in Jeddah.
  • Trading sentiment remains positive amid vaccine hopes, hints of receding lockdowns in the UK, Australia and France.
  • Preliminary readings of November’s PMIs can offer immediate direction.

WTI takes the bids near $42.62, up 0.43% intraday, while heading into Monday’s European session. The energy benchmark recently gained after Reuters passed headlines suggesting an attack over Saudi Arabia’s biggest oil producer. Earlier in Asia, a barrel of black gold inched closer to $43.00, while refreshing a three-day high, as optimism concerning the coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccine and treatments gained momentum.

Reuters quote Houthi military spokesman, Yahya Sarea, while confirming Yemen’s Iran-aligned group’s Quds-2 type winged missile attack in Saudi Arabia’s Red Sea city of Jeddah. However, Saudi officials couldn’t be traced for confirmation even as Houthis warned: “operations will continue”.

Elsewhere, Pfizer’s COVID-19 vaccine is up for getting UK approval while Regenereon’s antibody treatment has already got a green signal from the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA). It should also be noted that the UK and France recently hinted, as per The Telegraph, to ease the virus-led activity restrictions ahead of Christmas. Additionally supporting the risks could be the further easing of lockdown in Australian states.

Against this backdrop, S&P 500 Futures print 0.25% gains whereas the US 10-year Treasury yields remain dismal as Japanese markets are off due to the Thanksgiving Day holiday.

Given the scheduled release of initial activity numbers for November, oil buyers are likely to catch a breather amid fears of a pullback in major PMIs due to the virus resurgence. However, chatters concerning the extension of the OPEC+ production cut can keep the black gold positive amid vaccine hopes.

Technical analysis

A clear break above the monthly high of $43.30 becomes necessary for the bulls to challenge February’s low near $43.95. Meanwhile, a downside break of the previous resistance line from November 11, at $42.30 now, can trigger fresh declines.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price42.61
Today Daily Change0.17
Today Daily Change %0.40%
Today daily open42.44
 
Trends
Daily SMA2039.66
Daily SMA5039.92
Daily SMA10040.63
Daily SMA20037.01
 
Levels
Previous Daily High42.57
Previous Daily Low41.65
Previous Weekly High42.68
Previous Weekly Low40.36
Previous Monthly High41.93
Previous Monthly Low35.08
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%42.22
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%42
Daily Pivot Point S141.87
Daily Pivot Point S241.3
Daily Pivot Point S340.95
Daily Pivot Point R142.79
Daily Pivot Point R243.14
Daily Pivot Point R343.71

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD holds above 0.6950 as bullish USD caps gains

AUD/USD edges lower during the Asian session on Tuesday, stalling a two-day recovery move from a two-month low, touched last week. An extended rout in the fixed income market keeps US bond yields elevated near multi-year highs. This, along with geopolitical uncertainties, helps the US Dollar retain its bullish tone despite receding October Fed hike bets. However, expectations for another RBA rate hike this month could act as a tailwind for the Aussie.

USD/JPY rises back above 158.00 despite hawkish BoJ outlook

USD/JPY rises back above 158.00 in the early European morning on Tuesday. The pair strengthens as the Japanese Yen fails to find any inspiration from hawkish BoJ expectations and looming intervention risks. Meanwhile, geopolitical uncertainty and elevated US bond yields keep the US Dollar near its YTD high despite receding October Fed hike bets. This, in turn, helps the pair stay supported.

Gold recovers further from two-month low amid some USD profit-taking

Gold builds on its modest intraday bounce from the $4,100 neighborhood, or a two-month low, and climbs above $4,150 during the first half of the European session. The US Dollar pauses for a breather following the recent strong rally from the September monthly swing low and offers some support to the precious metal. Adding to this, receding bets on an October Fed rate hike benefit the non-yielding bullion.

Ripple and Stellar weaken as derivatives positioning fades
Ripple (XRP) and Stellar (XLM) face pressure trading below $1.499 and $0.220, respectively, on Tuesday after a modest correction at the start of the week. Traders should be cautious as weakening derivatives metrics and fading bullish momentum suggest further corrections for XRP and XLM. Derivatives data shows a weakening and cautious signal among traders.
Europe in focus as French and Spanish politics drive sentiment

There are no tier-1 releases today. Focus will remain on developments in the European markets and geopolitical developments in the Middle East. In France, the key issue in the coming days will be whether the Socialists and Marine Le Pen's National Rally signal they are willing to topple the government over the budget.

Eurozone inflation just hit 3.8%, its highest in three years. This chart shows why the ECB can’t simply hike its way out

The ECB would normally have a relatively straightforward answer to inflation running almost twice its target: raise interest rates. But these are not normal circumstances. This time, the bond market is already doing part of the tightening for it, leaving the ECB facing an increasingly difficult dilemma.