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WTI declines to near $76.30 on eased concerns about oil supply disruptions in the Red Sea

  • WTI price edges lower after Israel’s series of strikes in Gaza's southern city of Rafah.
  • Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu expressed his intention to escalate the military operation into Rafah.
  • IMF MD Kristalina Georgieva highlighted that Middle Eastern economies were underperforming compared to growth projections.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price halts its five-day winning streak from the previous week, trading slightly lower to around $76.30 per barrel during the Asian session on Monday. The decline in Crude oil prices comes as Israel concluded a series of strikes in Gaza's southern city of Rafah, alleviating concerns about oil supply disruptions in the Red Sea region.

Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu expressed his intention on Sunday to escalate the military operation into Rafah. However, US President Joe Biden cautioned Netanyahu against proceeding with a ground operation in Rafah without a "credible and executable" plan to ensure the safety of the people sheltering there. Hamas also warned Israel that a ground offensive in Rafah could jeopardize future hostage releases.

However, oil prices surged last week on heightened concerns about a potential escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East following Netanyahu's rejection of a proposal to halt the conflict in the Palestinian enclave.

During the Arab Fiscal Forum in Dubai on Sunday, Kristalina Georgieva, the Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), highlighted that Middle East economies were underperforming compared to growth projections. Factors contributing to this included oil production cuts and the Israel-Gaza conflict. Despite this, Georgieva noted that the global economic outlook remained resilient. In its regional economic report last month, the IMF revised its GDP growth forecast for the Middle East and North Africa down to 2.9% for the year, falling below previous projections from October.

On Friday, Baker Hughes released its US Oil Rig Count data, indicating no change in the active rig count, which remained steady at 499. Additionally, the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (MOMR) is scheduled for publication on Tuesday. This report covers significant issues impacting the global oil market and offers insights into developments in the Crude oil market.

WTI US OIL: technical levels to watch

Overview
Today last price76.32
Today Daily Change-0.19
Today Daily Change %-0.25
Today daily open76.51
 
Trends
Daily SMA2074.72
Daily SMA5073.25
Daily SMA10077.57
Daily SMA20077.32
 
Levels
Previous Daily High77.18
Previous Daily Low75.89
Previous Weekly High77.18
Previous Weekly Low71.46
Previous Monthly High79.19
Previous Monthly Low69.41
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%76.69
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%76.38
Daily Pivot Point S175.88
Daily Pivot Point S275.24
Daily Pivot Point S374.59
Daily Pivot Point R177.16
Daily Pivot Point R277.81
Daily Pivot Point R378.45

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

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