WTI Crude Oil dips amid easing geopolitical tensions, OPEC+ deliberations

WTI crude oil prices declined following the start of a truce in the Gaza Strip.
OPEC+ postpones crucial meetings, sparking speculations of potential oil production cuts for 2024.
Global factors like higher US crude stockpiles, China's uncertain oil demand, and non-OPEC production growth contribute to Oil price trends.

Christian Borjon Valencia FXStreet

West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US Crude Oil benchmark, fell on Friday as the release of some hostages in Gaza reduced geopolitical tensions. The daily chart showed prices at $75.13 per barrel, even though global business activity witnessed an uptick.

WTI falls to $75.13 per barrel as Gaza truce reduces Middle East risks, while OPEC+ meeting delay and production discussions influence market

A planned truce in the Gaza Strip began, aimed to allow the exchange of hostages between Israel and Hamas. Hence, reduced geopolitical tensions weighed in on oil prices, which usually tend to rise amid risks in the Middle East. However, Oil bears are not out of the woods yet, as the upcoming OPEC+ meeting is awaited, with crude Oil production cuts for 2024 looming.

The OPEC+ delayed its meeting from November 26 to November 30 as countries discussed Oil output levels. The delay led to a significant drop of 5% on Wednesday before WTI trimmed some of its losses to just 1.30%.

There are indications that OPEC+ is making progress toward a compromise with African oil-producing countries regarding production levels for 2024. This development suggests ongoing negotiations and discussions within the group to establish production quotas for the coming year.

While WTI could witness an uptick if OPEC+ cuts its production, higher US Crude stockpiles, and lower refining margins can put a lid on Oil prices.

Additionally, China's longer-term oil demand outlook remains uncertain. Analysts suggest that oil demand growth in China could weaken to around 4% in the first half of 2024, mainly due to challenges in the property sector that may impact diesel consumption.

Furthermore, non-OPEC production is expected to remain robust, with Brazil's state energy company, Petrobras, planning significant investments to boost output. This could contribute to global oil supply, potentially limiting upward price movements.

WTI Technical Levels

WTI US OIL

Overview
Today last price	75.59
Today Daily Change	-0.76
Today Daily Change %	-1.00
Today daily open	76.35

Trends
Daily SMA20	78.47
Daily SMA50	83.61
Daily SMA100	82.2
Daily SMA200	77.94

Levels
Previous Daily High	76.86
Previous Daily Low	75.35
Previous Weekly High	79.66
Previous Weekly Low	72.39
Previous Monthly High	90.88
Previous Monthly Low	80.52
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	75.93
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	76.28
Daily Pivot Point S1	75.51
Daily Pivot Point S2	74.67
Daily Pivot Point S3	73.99
Daily Pivot Point R1	77.02
Daily Pivot Point R2	77.7
Daily Pivot Point R3	78.54

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

FXStreet

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

AUD/USD struggles to recover as hawkish Fed bets escalate

The Australian Dollar is under pressure against the US Dollar as traders have raised bets supporting interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve this year, with the AUD/USD pair posting a fresh almost eight-week low at around 0.7025. Hawkish Fed bets have accelerated following the release of the surprisingly strong United States Nonfarm Payroll (NFP) data for May.

USD/JPY holds higher ground toward 160.50 despite 'Yentervention' fears

USD/JPY holds higher ground toward 160.50 in Monday's Asian trading, despite intervention fears. Japan’s revised GDP print, which confirmed that the economy lost momentum in the first quarter, weighs on the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, Friday's upbeat US NFP report and fresh Israel-Iran attacks favor the US Dollar bulls, underpinning the currency pair.

Gold sticks to the positive bias, still below $4,350

Gold manages to reclaim the $4,300 mark per troy ounce and above on Monday. The yellow metal’s small uptick comes on the back of modest losses in the US Dollar, while traders continue to follow geopolitical events in the Middle East and the likelihood of a tighter-for-longer Fed.

Solana: ETF outflows and bearish sentiment reinforce downside risks

Solana (SOL) remains under pressure, trading below $66 on Monday after losing nearly 20% in the previous week. Institutional demand weakened with spot Exchange Traded Funds recording a net outflow of over $6.5 million last week, snapping a four-week streak of inflows.

$1.75 trillion: Is SpaceX the most popular IPO in history, or the most engineered?

On June 12, the largest initial public offering (IPO) in history is set to hit the tape, and almost nobody is asking whether the price is right, because almost everybody already wants in.

The US economy defies the rules: 100 days into the Oil shock and the recession signal is still missing

More than three months after the start of the Iran war and the resulting disruption to global energy markets, the US economy continues to display remarkable resilience. The conflict has triggered a sharp rise in Oil prices, reignited inflationary pressures and fueled widespread concerns about a potential economic slowdown.