|

When are the German Factory Orders and how could they affect EUR/USD?

German Factory Orders overview

German factory orders are forecasted to have risen by 0.6% month-on-month in December, having dropped by 1.3% in November. The annualized figure is expected to come in at -6% compared to the previous month's -6.5%. The data will be released at 07:00 GMT. 

Mixed lead indicators

IHS Markit’s German Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for manufacturing, which accounts for about a fifth of the economy, fell to 43.7 in December from November’s five-month high of 44.1, signaling a deeper contraction. 

However, the forward-looking survey measures for new orders and output expectations had improved. 

So, Factory Orders may have rebounded in December, as expected by economists. 

Impact on EUR

EUR/USD found acceptance under 1.10 on Wednesday – it's first below-1.10 close since October. The psychological support was breached with a red marubozu candle, which represents strong bearish sentiment. 

The pair, therefore, is on the defensive and could suffer a deeper drop to 1.0941 (Oct. 8 low) on weaker-than-expected German data. 

A big beat on expectations could put a strong bid under the single currency, although the bearish outlook would be invalidated only if the spot manages to close above Wednesday's high of 1.1048. 

At press time, EUR/USD is trading just below 1.10.

Technical levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0998
Today Daily Change0.0000
Today Daily Change %0.00
Today daily open1.0998
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.1075
Daily SMA501.1102
Daily SMA1001.1072
Daily SMA2001.1126
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.1048
Previous Daily Low1.0994
Previous Weekly High1.1092
Previous Weekly Low1.0992
Previous Monthly High1.1225
Previous Monthly Low1.0992
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1015
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.1027
Daily Pivot Point S11.0979
Daily Pivot Point S21.0959
Daily Pivot Point S31.0925
Daily Pivot Point R11.1033
Daily Pivot Point R21.1067
Daily Pivot Point R31.1087

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading 

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.