|

Vaccine arrival expected to trigger dollar slump in 2021 – FT

Amid the on-going coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccine saga, the Financial Times (FT) came out with a piece, relying on the Wall Street analysts, to suggest a 20% drop in the US dollar index (DXY) during the year 2021 if vaccines trigger an economic rebound.

The report quotes Citi bank’s Calvin Tse while saying, “Vaccine distribution we believe will check off all of our bear market signposts, allowing the dollar to follow a similar path to that it experienced from the early to mid-2000s.” The analyst went on to accept the forecast of a sizeable decline in the greenback.

Further, “Goldman Sachs expects the dollar to slide 6 percent on a trade-weighted basis over the next 12 months, said the FT piece while also marking the bears from the Deutsche Bank, TD Securities and Barclays.

That said, the DXY keeps pullback from the eight-day low while taking rounds to 92.43 during the early Thursday.

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: Sellers attack 1.1700 as USD stages a solid comeback

EUR/USD attacks 1.1700 amid heavy selling interest in the European trading hours on Wednesday. A solid comeback staged by the US Dollar weighs heavily on the pair, as traders look to USD short covering ahead of US CPI on Thursday. However, the downside could be capped by hawkish ECB expectations. 

GBP/USD slides toward 1.3300 after softer-than-expected UK inflation data

GBP/USD has come under intense selling pressure, eyeing 1.3300 in the European session on Wednesday. The UK annual headline and core CPI rose by 3.2% each, missing estimates of 3.5% and 3.4%, respectively, reaffirming dovish BoE expectations and smashing the Pound Sterling across the board. 

Gold: Bulls await breakout through multi-day-old range amid Fed rate cut bets

Gold attracts fresh buyers during the Asian session on Wednesday, though it remains confined in a multi-day-old trading range amid mixed fundamental cues. The global risk sentiment remains on the defensive amid economic woes and fears of the AI bubble burst. Moreover, dovish US Federal Reserve expectations lend support to the non-yielding yellow metal, though a modest US Dollar uptick might cap any further appreciating move.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple extend correction as bearish momentum builds

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple remain under pressure as the broader market continues its corrective phase into midweek. The weak price action of these top three cryptocurrencies by market capitalization suggests a deeper correction, as momentum indicators are beginning to tilt bearish.

Ukraine-Russia in the spotlight once again

Since the start of the week, gold’s price has moved lower, but has yet to erase the gains made last week. In today’s report we intend to focus on the newest round of peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, whilst noting the release of the US Employment data later on day and end our report with an update in regards to the tensions brewing in Venezuela.

AAVE slips below $186 as bearish signals outweigh the SEC investigation closure

Aave (AAVE) price continues its decline, trading below $186 at the time of writing on Wednesday after a rejection at the key resistance zone. Derivatives positioning and momentum indicators suggest that bearish forces still dominate in the near term.