USD/RUB posts modest gains near 96.40 amid geopolitical issue, focus on US Services PMI

  • USD/RUB trades with modest gains around 96.40 amid the Russian Ruble weakness.
  • Russia's Manufacturing PMI for August came in better than expected; the Unemployment Rate declined to 3.0% from 3.1%.
  • US Nonfarm Payrolls for August were better than estimated.

USD/RUB extends its upside during the early European session on Monday. The pair currently trades near 96.40, unchanged for the day. The pair trades in positive territory for the third consecutive week amid the Russian Ruble's depreciation.

According to data published last week, Russia's S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for August came in at 52.7 versus the market consensus of 52.1. The figure climbed the highest in three months. Earlier, the Unemployment Rate for July declined to 3.0% from 3.1% in June and 3.2% market expectation.

Apart from this, Finance Minister Anton Siluanov forecast that the Russian economy is expected to grow by at least 2.5% in 2023, with inflation hovering around 6%. He also said that he would work with the Central Bank to take all necessary actions to bring inflation down to the appropriate level. It’s worth noting that the Bank of Russia hiked the interest rate by 350 basis points (bps) to 12% on August 15 to halt the ruble's slide amid the the turmoil in Ukraine war.

On the other hand, Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) for August in the US came in at 187K, exceeding the estimate of 170K and July's reading of 157K. The Unemployment Rate decreased considerably to 3.8%, compared to the market's estimate of 3.5% and the previous reading of 3.5%. The monthly Average Hourly Earnings increased by 0.2% instead of 0.3%.

Following the Nonfarm Payrolls report, the US Dollar (USD) fell across the board as traders expect the Federal Reserve to end the tightening cycle. However, the Greenback reversed its course after the US PMI data. The Manufacturing PMI improved to 47.6 versus 46.4 prior and better than the market estimation of 47.0.

Market players will take cues from the US Service PMI data due later this week and find opportunities around USD/RUB. The data could offer hints about the path of further interest rate decisions by the Federal Reserve (Fed)



Today last price 60.95
Today Daily Change -35.4550
Today Daily Change % -36.78
Today daily open 96.405
Daily SMA20 95.8993
Daily SMA50 92.6142
Daily SMA100 86.8033
Daily SMA200 79.5882
Previous Daily High 96.72
Previous Daily Low 95.215
Previous Weekly High 97.057
Previous Weekly Low 93.3715
Previous Monthly High 102.38
Previous Monthly Low 90.8215
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 96.1451
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 95.7899
Daily Pivot Point S1 95.5067
Daily Pivot Point S2 94.6083
Daily Pivot Point S3 94.0017
Daily Pivot Point R1 97.0117
Daily Pivot Point R2 97.6183
Daily Pivot Point R3 98.5167



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