|

USD/MXN conquers the 18.000 figure ahead of Fed’s Powell speech before US Congress

  • USD/MXN reclaims 18.0000 post US factory data, ahead of Fed’s Powell speech.
  • The US Dollar remained offered, though it was no excuse for the USD/MXN to register gains.
  • USD/MXN Price Analysis: Downward biased, but it would need a daily close below $18.00 to expose 6-year lows.

The USD/MXN is recovering some ground on Monday after falling to 5-year lows below $18.00, at 17.9409, and climbing above the 18.0000 figure amidst overall US Dollar (USD) weakness. The USD/MXN is exchanging hands at 18.0022 and gains 0.27%.

USD/MXN reclaims $18.00 as the pair consolidates

Wall Street is set to finish Monday’s session with gains. The US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will take the stand in the United States (US) Congress on March 7 and 8. He’s expected to deliver a speech reiterating the Fed’s commitment to taking inflation and holding higher rates for a certain time. Nevertheless, analysts expect Chair Powell to be vague if asked where the Federal Funds Rate (FFR) would peak.

In the meantime, data revealed during the day showed that US Factory Orders plunged less than estimates of -1.8%; it came at -1.6%. The US Commerce Department report indicated an increase in the shipment and production of goods, which ended a two-month consecutive decline trend.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) a gauge for the buck’s value vs. a basket of six currencies, continued its downtrend last week by -0.19%, at 104.325, capping the USD/MXN gains during the day.

On the Mexican front, data from the National Statistics Agency, known as INEGI, showed that automotive production and exports climbed more than expected a year ago. Additionally, Tesla’s 10 billion US dollars investment in Mexico keeps the Mexican Peso (MXN) afloat.

USD/MXN Technical Analysis

The USD/MXN daily chart portrays the MXN would continue to strengthen vs. the US Dollar. Nevertheless, it could consolidate as traders assess the USD/MXN current exchange rate. An extension below $17.94 could witness the USD/MXN reaching the July 2017 low of 17.4498. A break below will expose the April 2016 low of 17.0509. Conversely, if the USD/MXN reclaims 18.1208, that would open the door to testing the 20-day EMA at 18.3757.

What to watch?

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD consolidates below 1.1700 amid cautious markets

EUR/USD is holding steady below 1.1700 in the European trading hours on Thursday. The pair pauses its losing streak as the US Dollar consolidates the recent recovery amid a cautious market mood and ahead of the mid-tier US employment data. 

GBP/USD turns lower to near 1.3450 amid softer risk tone

GBP/USD loses ground to trade near 1.3450 in the early European session on Thursday. Markets turn cautious amid simmering geopolitical tensions and ahead of the US labor market data due later in the day. 

Gold selling pressure persists as traders lock in profits ahead of US NFP report

Gold remains under some selling pressure for the second straight day and slides back closer to the overnight swing low during the Asian session on Thursday. The downtick lacks any fundamental catalyst and is likely to remain limited amid a supportive fundamental backdrop. 

Pi Network flashes bearish potential as selling pressure mounts

Pi Network trades above $0.2000 at press time on Thursday, following a nearly 2% decline the previous day. Centralized Exchanges have received 1.90 million PI tokens over the last 24 hours, suggesting risk-off sentiment among holders. The technical outlook for the PI token remains bearish, with a risk of a cross below the 20-day Exponential Moving Average. 

2026 economic outlook: Clear skies but don’t unfasten your seatbelts yet

Most years fade into the background as soon as a new one starts. Not 2025: a year of epochal shifts, in which the macroeconomy was the dog that did not bark. What to expect in 2026? The shocks of 2025 will not be undone, but neither will they be repeated.

Pi Network Price Forecast: PI flashes bearish potential as selling pressure mounts

Pi Network trades above $0.2000 at press time on Thursday, following a nearly 2% decline the previous day. Centralized Exchanges have received 1.90 million PI tokens over the last 24 hours, suggesting risk-off sentiment among holders.