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USD/JPY pausing its bullish correction above 106 as Japan’s Q2 GDP beat estimates

  • USD/JPY takes a u-turn from 106.30 after rising for the previous two days.
  • Japan’s Q2 Final GDP dropped 7.9% versus 7.8% preliminary forecast and 8.1% market consensus.
  • Market sentiment dwindles as S&P 500 Futures carry bounce off late-August lows but US 10-year Treasury yields probe Friday’s rally.
  • US traders’ reaction to latest risk catalysts will be the key amid a light calendar.

USD/JPY drops to 106.25 as markets in Tokyo open for Tuesday’s trading. The yen pair recently reacted to better than forecast prints of the second quarter (Q2) Japanese GDP.

Read: Japan Q2 real GDP -7.9% QoQ (prelim -7.8%, Reuters poll -8.1%)

Other than the Q2 GDP, statistics from Japan like Trade Balance and Bank Lending, for July and August respectively also flashed better than forecast readings. However, the downbeat performance of Overall Households Spending and Current Account data for July keeps the pair traders troubled.

The market mood remains mostly sluggish amid the escalating tension between the US and China, as well as the recent border tussle among New Delhi and Beijing. Though, hopes of further stimulus from the US keep, followed by Friday’s upbeat data favor the greenback bulls.

It’s worth mentioning that the calls of a snap election in Japan, other than the PM leadership vote scheduled next week, also weigh on the market’s risk-tone sentiment.

Amid these catalysts, S&P 500 Futures rise 0.68% to 3,440 but the US 10-year Treasury yields await more clues to extend Friday’s heavy gains beyond 0.72%.

Moving on, Japan’s Eco-Watcher Survey for August becomes the only thing to decorate the Asian calendar, which in turn pushes traders to await the American market players’ performance after the extended weekend. It should, however, be noted that the escalation risk-off mood, coupled with the broad US dollar strength, is likely to remain for a bit longer.

Technical analysis

The pair’s sustained bounce off 105.20 favors the run-up to 50-day SMA, near 106.40, but any further upside will be capped by the 100-day SMA, at 106.88 now. Meanwhile, an ascending trend line from July 31, currently around 105.55, may restrict immediate downside.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price106.3
Today Daily Change0.03
Today Daily Change %0.03%
Today daily open106.27
 
Trends
Daily SMA20106.15
Daily SMA50106.41
Daily SMA100106.9
Daily SMA200107.89
 
Levels
Previous Daily High106.38
Previous Daily Low106.13
Previous Weekly High106.55
Previous Weekly Low105.29
Previous Monthly High107.05
Previous Monthly Low105.1
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%106.29
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%106.23
Daily Pivot Point S1106.14
Daily Pivot Point S2106.01
Daily Pivot Point S3105.89
Daily Pivot Point R1106.39
Daily Pivot Point R2106.51
Daily Pivot Point R3106.64

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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