|

USD/JPY holds below 113.00, multi-week low performance, US CPI eyed

  • The risk-off sentiment undervalued JPY's safe-haven appeal.
  • USD/JPY weighed heavily on the back of Japan's real wages decline, report.
  • The pair look for impetus from US CPI amid a light economic calendar.  

USD/JPY is trading under the 113.00 mark during early Asian session hours on Wednesday. The pair pushed lower alongside commodity currencies as risk appetite reversed overnight. As of now, a tight currency range is expected in the near term as markets look ahead to US CPI.

After falling from the 114.00 level, Japan's Current Account balance shrank below the ¥1060B forecast to ¥1033.7B in September, which weighed on the USD/JPY prices.

Also, in the news, Japan being the world's third-largest economy hit hard by the coronavirus pandemic, Prime Minister Fumio Kishida is set to map out and secure funding for a stimulus package worth more than 30 trillion yen ($265 billion) within the year. 

It is to be noted that Reuters reported that "Japan's real wages declined in September for the first time in three months as inflation picked up faster than growth in nominal pay, the government said''. The news agency said that this is a sign of global cost-push inflation starting to affect Japanese households. This information has weighed heavy on the quote's price action. 

Meanwhile, the US dollar index is moving below 94.00, down by 0.09% on the day. Treasury yields fell across the curve as markets digested news that dovish Fed Governor Lael Brainard has been interviewed for the Fed's chair position. This should see local rates markets open to a bid tone.  

Amid a light economic docket in Japan, the pair will find impetus from the critical US inflation figures.

Technical levels

The USD/JPY daily chart indicates 113.76, 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), as immediate resistance to the upside. If it's breached, the pair's one-week high of 114.44 will be the next topside barrier. The next resistance would be one month's high at 114.70.  

The price may reverse and continue the downtrend towards the support levels of 111.96, 110.03 and 109.78, which are the pair's 50, 100 and 200-day SMAs respectively. Following the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), the movement shows a cautious dive. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) looks cheerful but manages to stay below the 50-line horizon.

 

Overview
Today last price112.88
Today Daily Change0.01
Today Daily Change %0.01
Today daily open112.87
 
Trends
Daily SMA20113.81
Daily SMA50111.9
Daily SMA100111.02
Daily SMA200109.74
 
Levels
Previous Daily High113.29
Previous Daily Low112.73
Previous Weekly High114.44
Previous Weekly Low113.3
Previous Monthly High114.7
Previous Monthly Low110.82
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%112.94
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%113.08
Daily Pivot Point S1112.63
Daily Pivot Point S2112.4
Daily Pivot Point S3112.07
Daily Pivot Point R1113.2
Daily Pivot Point R2113.53
Daily Pivot Point R3113.76

Author

Sounava Ray Sarkar

Sounava Ray Sarkar

Independent Analyst

Sounava has been working as a Journalist since 2012. He has worked with several reputed media organizations in various capacities before settling as a writer and news editor for business and technology segments.

More from Sounava Ray Sarkar
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD posts modest gains near 1.1650 amid Fed rate cut bets

The EUR/USD pair posts modest gains around 1.1645 during the early Asian session on Monday. The prospect of a US Federal Reserve rate cut at its December meeting on Wednesday could weigh on the US Dollar against the Euro. Later on Monday, the German Industrial Production and Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence reports will be published. 

GBP/USD consolidates around 1.3330 as traders await Fed rate decision

The GBP/USD pair kicks off the new week on a subdued note and oscillates in a narrow trading band, around the 1.3320-1.3325 region, during the Asian session. Spot prices, however, remain close to the highest level since October 22, touched last Thursday, with bulls awaiting a sustained strength and acceptance above the 100-day Simple Moving Average before placing fresh bets.

Gold drifts higher above $4,200 on Fed rate cut expectations

Gold price trades in positive territory near $4,205 during the early Asian session on Monday. The precious metal edges higher as markets widely expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates at its December meeting on Wednesday. 

Week ahead: Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low. Dollar weakness could linger; both the aussie and the yen best positioned to gain further. Gold and oil eye Ukraine-Russia developments; a peace deal remains elusive.

The Silver disconnection is real

Silver just hit a new all-time high. Neither did gold, nor mining stocks. They all reversed on an intraday basis, but silver’s move to new highs makes it still bullish overall, while the almost complete reversals in gold and miners make the latter technically bearish.

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs.