|

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Treads water inside 40-pip trading range near 149.00

  • USD/JPY remains indecisive after a volatile start to the week.
  • Immediate resistance line joins previous support from late September to restrict nearby moves.
  • Sustained trading above the key SMAs, the receding bearish bias of MACD keeps buyers hopeful.

USD/JPY holds onto the day-start inaction around 149.00 as European traders brace for Tuesday’s work. In doing so, the yen pair remains inside a 40-pip trading area established after a rollercoaster start to the week.

That said, the support-turned-resistance line from September 22, around 149.00 by the press time, restricts the yen pair’s immediate downside. Alternatively, a descending trend line joining the quote’s retreat from early Monday’s peak, near 148.60, acts as the adjacent resistance.

It’s worth noting that the USD/JPY remains well above the key moving averages and has been getting less bearish signals from the MACD of late, which in turn suggests the quote’s run-up towards the 150.00 threshold.

Following that, the recently flashed 32-year high near 152.00 and June 1990 peak surrounding 155.80 will be in focus.

Alternatively, a downside break of 148.60 could drag the USD/JPY prices toward the 100-SMA and 200-SMA, respectively near 147.00 and 145.30.

If the quote drops below 145.30, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair’s run-up between September 22 and October 21, close to 144.80, could act as the last defense of the bulls.

Overall, USD/JPY remains on the buyer’s radar but the short-term moves appear less impressive.

USD/JPY: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further recovery expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price148.88
Today Daily Change-0.03
Today Daily Change %-0.02%
Today daily open148.91
 
Trends
Daily SMA20146.55
Daily SMA50142.95
Daily SMA100139.15
Daily SMA200130.52
 
Levels
Previous Daily High149.71
Previous Daily Low145.51
Previous Weekly High151.94
Previous Weekly Low146.19
Previous Monthly High145.9
Previous Monthly Low138.78
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%148.1
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%147.11
Daily Pivot Point S1146.37
Daily Pivot Point S2143.84
Daily Pivot Point S3142.17
Daily Pivot Point R1150.58
Daily Pivot Point R2152.24
Daily Pivot Point R3154.78

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD nudges higher above 1.3350 despite Middle East turmoil

The GBP/USD pair rebounds to near 1.3385 during the Asian trading hours on Thursday. However, the potential upside for the major pair might be limited amid cooler-than-expected UK inflation data and escalating tensions in the Middle East. Traders will take more cues from the UK Retail Sales report, which is due later on Friday. 


EUR/USD advances ahead of ECB policy decision

EUR/USD extends its gains for the second consecutive day, trading around 1.1410 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The pair gains ground as the Euro finds solid support ahead of the European Central Bank's upcoming interest rate decision.

Gold holds above $4,100 as weak USD counters Fed hike bets amid US-Iran escalation

Gold holds above the $4,100 mark during the Asian session, and seems to have stalled the previous day's modest pullback from an over two-week high. Crude oil prices climb to a fresh high since June 11 amid a further escalation of tensions between the US and Iran, fueling inflation fears and bolstering US Federal Reserve interest rate hike expectations. This lifts US Treasury bond yields to a multi-month high and is seen as a key factor acting as a headwind for the non-yielding bullion.

Hyperliquid, Robinhood could lead crypto’s next bull market as DeFi and TradFi converge

The next crypto bull market could be driven by the growing convergence between blockchain-based financial infrastructure and traditional finance, according to Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan. In a report published late Tuesday, Hougan argued that crypto may be showing early signs of a market bottom, with Bitcoin gaining 9% since July 1 even as the NASDAQ 100 declined 6%.

Ripple and Stellar await direction amid cautious sentiment

Ripple and Stellar trade cautiously as both tokens hover around key technical levels. XRP is testing resistance at its 50-day EMA, while XLM continues to consolidate around the $0.187 support zone. Meanwhile, mixed derivatives data with a slight bearish tilt suggests traders remain cautious, keeping the next directional move uncertain.

US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.