|

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Pulls back from 61.8% Fibonacci, 200-day SMA on Fed’s action

  • USD/JPY fails to extend Friday’s recovery moves.
  • Fed surprised markets with a rate cut and QE, cancels this week’s FOMC meeting.
  • August 2019 low on the bears' radar.

USD/JPY remains on the back foot around 106.40, down 1.42%, in a reaction to the Fed’s surprise during early-Monday in Asia.

Read: Powell speech: The Fed is going to “go in strong” on asset purchases

In doing so, the yen pair fails to hold onto its recovery gains from Friday while also staying below 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of its fall from April 2019 and 200-day SMA.

That said, the pair currently declines towards 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, around 105.45, whereas August 2019 low near 104.85 could become the bears’ favorite afterward.

On the upside, 61.8% of Fibonacci retracement, near 108.10, followed by a 200-day SMA of 108.25, act as the immediate upside barriers for the pair.

Should there be a sustained run-up past-108.25, buyers can aim for 109.50/55 ahead of January month high near 110.30.

USD/JPY daily chart

Trend: Bearish

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price106.41
Today Daily Change-1.55
Today Daily Change %-1.44%
Today daily open107.96
 
Trends
Daily SMA20108.18
Daily SMA50108.97
Daily SMA100108.96
Daily SMA200108.27
 
Levels
Previous Daily High108.51
Previous Daily Low104.51
Previous Weekly High108.51
Previous Weekly Low101.18
Previous Monthly High112.23
Previous Monthly Low107.51
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%106.98
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%106.03
Daily Pivot Point S1105.47
Daily Pivot Point S2102.99
Daily Pivot Point S3101.47
Daily Pivot Point R1109.47
Daily Pivot Point R2110.99
Daily Pivot Point R3113.47

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD meets initial support around 1.1800

EUR/USD remains on the back foot, although it has managed to reverse the initial strong pullback toward the 1.1800 region and regain some balance, hovering around the 1.1850 zone as the NA session draws to a close on Tuesday. Moving forward, market participants will now shift their attention to the release of the FOMC Minutes and US hard data on Wednesday.
 

GBP/USD bounces off lows, retargets 1.3550

After bottoming out just below the 1.3500 yardstick, GBP/USD now gathers some fresh bids and advances to the 1.3530-1.3540 band in the latter part of Tuesday’s session. Cable’s recovery comes as the Greenback surrenders part of its advance, although it keeps the bullish bias well in place for the day.

Gold remains offered below $5,000

Gold stays on the defensive on Tuesday, receding to the sub-$5,000 region per troy ounce on the back of the persistent move higher in the Greenback. The precious metal’s decline is also underpinned by the modest uptick in US Treasury yields across the spectrum.

RBNZ set to pause interest-rate easing cycle as new Governor Breman faces firm inflation

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand remains on track to maintain the Official Cash Rate at 2.25% after concluding its first monetary policy meeting of this year on Wednesday.

UK jobs market weakens, bolstering rate cut hopes

In the UK, the latest jobs report made for difficult reading. Nonetheless, this represents yet another reminder for the Bank of England that they need to act swiftly given the collapse in inflation expected over the coming months. 

Ripple slides to $1.45 as downside risks surge

Ripple edges lower at the time of writing on Tuesday, from the daily open of $1.48, as headwinds persist across the crypto market. A short-term support is emerging at $1.45, but a buildup of bearish positions could further weaken the derivatives market and prolong the correction.