USD/JPY Price Analysis: Bounces off 132.30 support confluence but upside remains elusive

USD/JPY rebounds from one-week-old ascending trend line, 100-SMA to reverse the week-start losses.
Bearish MACD signals, previous failures to cross 200-SMA keep sellers hopeful.
50-SMA, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement acts as an extra filter to the south.

Anil Panchal FXStreet

USD/JPY grinds near intraday high of around 132.80 during early Tuesday, following the downbeat start of the key week. In doing so, the Yen pair bounces from a convergence of the 100-bar Simple Moving Average (SMA) and one-week-old ascending trend line to reverse the previous day’s losses.

Although the Yen pair rebounds from the 132.30 support confluence, bearish MACD signals and the failure to cross the 200-SMA, around 134.00 by the press time, challenge the bulls.

Even if the USD/JPY crosses the 134.00 hurdle, a six-week-long horizontal resistance area near 135.10 can restrict the upside moves. It’s worth noting that 135.40 and 136.00 round figures are extra filters towards the north.

Should the quote remains firmer past 136.00, the odds of witnessing a fresh Year-To-Date high, currently around 137.90, can’t be ruled out.

On the flip side, a clear break of the 132.30 support confluence becomes necessary for the USD/JPY bear’s return.

Even so, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the USD/JPY pair’s February-March upside and 50-SMA, near 131.80, can act as the last defense of the buyers.

Following that, the 130.00 round figure and the previous monthly low near 129.65 may gain the USD/JPY seller’s attention.

Overall, USD/JPY is likely to extend the latest rebound but the recovery moves have limited upside room to cheer.

USD/JPY: Four-hour chart

Trend: Pullback expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price	132.71
Today Daily Change	0.30
Today Daily Change %	0.23%
Today daily open	132.41

Trends
Daily SMA20	133.09
Daily SMA50	132.98
Daily SMA100	133.8
Daily SMA200	137.3

Levels
Previous Daily High	133.76
Previous Daily Low	132.2
Previous Weekly High	133.6
Previous Weekly Low	130.41
Previous Monthly High	137.91
Previous Monthly Low	129.64
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	132.8
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	133.16
Daily Pivot Point S1	131.82
Daily Pivot Point S2	131.24
Daily Pivot Point S3	130.27
Daily Pivot Point R1	133.38
Daily Pivot Point R2	134.34
Daily Pivot Point R3	134.93

Author

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

GBP/USD trims gains, back to around 1.3500

GBP/USD now surrenders part of the earlier move to multi-week peaks around 1.3530 and comes close to the 1.3500 support on Monday. Cable’s uptick comes in tandem with decent gains in the Greenback, always amid persistent uncertainty lingering over the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and US-Iran talks.

EUR/USD deflates to 1.1540

EUR/USD begins the week on the back foot, retesting the 1.1540 zone as the NA session draws to a close. The better tone in the US Dollar weighs on the risk complex, sparking the daily correction in spot, always on the back of unabated effervescence in the Middle East.

Gold surges past $4,400, hitting fresh two-month highs

Gold climbs further beyond $4,400, touching its highest level since June 5 in the Asian session on Tuesday. Easing Fed rate hike expectations continue to drive flows towards the non-yielding bullion. Meanwhile, inflation risks stemming from volatile oil prices back the case for at least one rate hike in 2026, which supports the US Dollar and might cap the precious metal ahead of the crucial US CPI report on Wednesday.

Ethereum: SharpLink reports loss as BitMine continues share buybacks and ETH acquisitions

SharpLink reported $394.3 million in Q2 net losses following heavy declines in the crypto market, over a 3.5x decline from the $103.4 million losses in Q2 2025, according to a filing on Monday. The losses comprise $321 million in unrealized crypto losses on its ETH holdings and $76.1 million in impairments on its liquid staking tokens LsETH and weETH.

RBA set to hold interest rate at 4.35% as softer inflation cools hike bets

The Reserve Bank of Australia is on track to keep the Official Cash Rate (OCR) steady at 4.35% for the second consecutive meeting on Tuesday. The decision will be announced at 04:30 GMT, accompanied by the Monetary Policy Statement and updated economic forecasts. RBA Governor Michele Bullock’s press conference will follow at 05:30 GMT.

9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?

The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.