USD/JPY Price Analysis: Battles at the 20-day EMA around 131.40, retreats below 128.60
- USD/JPY trims some of its Asian session gains courtesy of the Bank of Japan’s decision.
- USD/JPY Price Analysis: Failure to conquer the 20-day EMA exacerbated a 200-plus pip fall beneath 128.50.
The USD/JPY clings to gains after hitting a daily high of 131.57 following the release of the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) monetary policy decision, which sparked a 400 pip rally. However, throughout the North American session, the Japanese Yen (JPY) stages a comeback against its counterpart, the US Dollar (USD), and so far is down 0.24%. At the time of writing, the USD/JPY is trading at 128.56.
USD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook
The USD/JPY daily chart portrays the major tested the confluence of the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the day’s high at 131.37 and failed to sustain the uptrend. Furthermore, on its way down, the USD/JPY retraced below a four-month downslope resistance trendline that passed around 130.30 ad extended its downtrend beneath 129.00 toward the current spot price.
However, oscillators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI although at bearish territory, its slope aims up, which could mean a reversal could happen. But the Rate of Change (Roc) suggests buyers are losing momentum as it retraces to the zero level.
The path of least resistance in the USD/JPY is downward biased, though if the USD/JPY prints a daily close above 128.46, that could open the door for further upside and might test the 129.00 mark. Otherwise, the USD/JPY first support would be 128.00. A breach of the latter will expose the May 24 swing low of 126.36, followed by the March 31 daily low of 121.27.
USD/JPY Key Technical Levels
Author
Christian Borjon Valencia
FXStreet
Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.
