|

USD/JPY Price Analysis: 110.00/50 is a critical supply area

  • USD/JPY bulls look for a restest of 110.00/50.
  • Bears need to commit between 110 and 110.50.

As per the prior analysis,  USD/JPY Price Analysis: One for the bravest of bulls targetting 111.90/20, the supply zone was always a higher risk for the bulls. 

Prior analysis

''...If this support structure holds, there will be a case for the upside in USD/JPY

However, buying at resistance should not really be a part of a trader's playbook. 

The following illustrates the market structure of the yen from a top-down basis and concludes that a long position should only be taken with additional measures to limit downside exposure and risk of a losing trade.''

''... a trade can be taken from the next bullish structure at reduced risk in order to limit likely losses of failures beyond one's entry point. 

For instance, a break of the 4-hour resistance at 111.20 would be bullish and potentially trigger enough renewed demand to the daily targets:''

However, the conditions were never met. Instead, the price melted from the resistance structure and now the focus is on the downside:

In the live market above, it is illustrated that the resistance was important and the price has melted below the 110 level.

This leaves the market in the hands of the bears that can expect a discount to short from in a daily correction as follows:

The price is stalling and a correction to at least the 38.2% Fibonacci could be on the cards to test 110 again. If it gives, then the next layer of resistance is 110.40/50.

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trims gains, back below 1.1800

EUR/USD now loses some upside momentum, returning to the area below the 1.1800 support as the Greenback manages to regain some composure following the SCOTUS-led pullback earlier in the session.

GBP/USD off highs, recedes to the sub-1.3500 area

Following earlier highs north of 1.3500 the figure, GBP/USD now faces some renewed downside pressure, revisiting the 1.3490 zone as the US Dollar manages to regain some upside impulse in the latter part of the NA session on Friday.

Gold climbs to weekly tops, approaches $5,100/oz

Gold keeps the bid tone well in place at the end of the week, now hitting fresh weekly highs and retargeting the key $5,100 mark per troy ounce. The move higher in the yellow metal comes in response to ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and modest losses in the US Dollar.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound as risk appetite improves

Bitcoin rises marginally, nearing the immediate resistance of $68,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Major altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple, hold key support levels as bulls aim to maintain marginal intraday gains.

Week ahead – Markets brace for heightened volatility as event risk dominates

Dollar strength dominates markets as risk appetite remains subdued. A Supreme Court ruling, geopolitics and Fed developments are in focus. Pivotal Nvidia earnings on Wednesday as investors question tech sector weakness.

Ripple bulls defend key support amid waning retail demand and ETF inflows

XRP ticks up above $1.40 support, but waning retail demand suggests caution. XRP attracts $4 million in spot ETF inflows on Thursday, signaling renewed institutional investor interest.