|

USD/JPY looks to approach 148.50 on BoJ’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged

  • USD/JPY retraces the recent losses due to the BoJ’s decision on no-interest rate change.
  • BoJ could consider adjusting its ultra-loose monetary policy when reaching a 2% inflation target is within reach.
  • Investors await US data to gain valuable insights into the economic conditions in the country.

USD/JPY retraces the losses registered on Thursday on the back of a policy rate decision by the Bank of Japan (BoJ). As widely expected, BoJ maintained its current interest rates at -0.1%. The spot price is trading higher around 148.30 during the early trading hours of the European session on Friday.

BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda conducted the press conference of the post-September policy meeting on Friday. The BoJ Governor has mentioned that the BOJ could contemplate ending yield curve control and adjusting its negative interest rate policy when they believe that achieving 2% inflation is on the horizon.

The policymaker has emphasized that there is "no change to the way of the policy decision-making process," indicating that the BOJ continues to carefully analyze new data at each monetary policy meeting.

Ueda further stated that they have not yet seen inflation reaching a stable 2% level. He also mentioned that the next monetary policy decision in October will be driven by data, including the government's extension of gasoline subsidies.

The BoJ is prepared to implement further easing measures if deemed necessary. Ueda acknowledged that there is a high degree of uncertainty regarding economic conditions, price trends, as well as currency and financial markets.

Japan’s National Consumer Price Index (YoY) report for August printed a reading of 3.2% compared to the previous rate of 3.3%. While National CPI ex-Fresh Food (YoY) remained consistent at 3.1% against the expected 3.0%.

US Dollar Index (DXY) trades higher around 105.40, and these gains can be attributed in part to the positive performance of US Treasury yields. The yield on the 10-year US bond has improved to 4.49% at the time of writing, the highest level since 2007.

Market participants await monitor economic data releases, including the preliminary US S&P Global PMIs for September. These figures may provide valuable insights into the economic conditions in the United States (US) and can assist traders in identifying potential trading opportunities involving the US Dollar (USD).

Recent economic data from the US, released on Thursday, presented a mixed picture. Initially, it strengthened the Greenback, signaling a resilient labor market. However, it later experienced a correction.

US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending on September 15 reported a figure of 201,000, representing a decrease from the previous reading of 221,000 and reaching the lowest level since January. This data outperformed expectations, as it was anticipated to be higher at 225,000.

The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey declined to a reading of 13.5 in September, which fell below expectations. Analysts had expected a decrease of only 0.7 from the previous positive reading of 12.

Regarding Existing Home Sales (MoM), August witnessed a decrease to 4.04 million from the previous figure of 4.07 million. Expectations were for an increase to 4.10 million.

As widely anticipated in the market, the Federal Reserve (Fed) chose to maintain interest rates within the 5.25-5.50% range during its Wednesday meeting. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, during a subsequent press conference, reiterated the Fed's commitment to achieving a 2% inflation target. Powell also mentioned that the Fed is prepared to raise rates if deemed necessary.

USD/JPY: additional important levels

Overview
Today last price148.33
Today Daily Change0.74
Today Daily Change %0.50
Today daily open147.59
 
Trends
Daily SMA20147.09
Daily SMA50144.54
Daily SMA100142.3
Daily SMA200137.58
 
Levels
Previous Daily High148.46
Previous Daily Low147.32
Previous Weekly High147.95
Previous Weekly Low145.9
Previous Monthly High147.38
Previous Monthly Low141.51
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%147.76
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%148.03
Daily Pivot Point S1147.12
Daily Pivot Point S2146.65
Daily Pivot Point S3145.98
Daily Pivot Point R1148.26
Daily Pivot Point R2148.93
Daily Pivot Point R3149.4

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trims gains, nears 1.1700

The EUR/USD pair eases in the American afternoon and approaches the 1.1700 mark. The pair surged earlier in the day after the ECB left interest rates unchanged and upwardly revised inflation and growth figures. The US CPI rose 2.7% YoY in November, nearing Fed’s goal.

GBP/USD returns to 1.3370 after BoE, US CPI

The GBP/USD pair jumped towards the 1.3440 early in the day, following the BoE decision to cut rates, and US CPI data, which was much softer than anticipated. The US Dollar, however, managed to regain the ground lost during US trading hours.

Gold extends its consolidative phase around $4,330

The bright metal cannot attract speculative interest on Thursday, despite central banks announcements and the United States latest inflation update. XAU/USD is stuck around $4,330, confined to a tight intraday range.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum hold steady while XRP slides amid mixed ETF flows

Bitcoin eyes short-term breakout above $87,000, underpinned by a significant increase in ETF inflows. Ethereum defends support around $2,800 as mild ETF outflows suppress its recovery. XRP holds above at $1.82 amid bearish technical signals and persistent inflows into ETFs.

Bank of England cuts rates in heavily divided decision

The Bank of England has cut rates to 3.75%, but the decision was more hawkish than expected, leaving market rates higher and sterling slightly stronger. It's a close call whether the Bank cuts again in February or March.

Ripple holds $1.82 support as low retail demand weighs on the token

Ripple (XRP) is trading between a key support at $1.82 and resistance at $2.00 at the time of writing on Thursday, reflecting the lethargic sentiment in the broader cryptocurrency market.