|

USD/JPY fades 111.00 handle in tandem with US yields

  • The USD/JPY is in a strong uptrend but is currently in a correction. 
  • The yen is tightly correlated to US yields which are having a pullback on Friday.

The USD/JPY currency pair is trading at around 110.68 down 0.07% on Friday. 

USD/JPY rose throughout Asia and the first part of New York then about an hour before the American session the pair established a high of the day at around 110.10 before sliding about 40 pips in the 110.70 region. 

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the buck against a basket of currencies reached a new multi-week high this Friday at 93.83 although the 10-year US Treasury yield benchmark is down on the day at around 3.078%. However, the 10-year note yield is up more than 4% for the week in support of the US dollar. 

In fact, the USD/JPY is tightly correlated to the US Treasury yields which explains the retracement in the pair. 

USD/JPY 4-hour chart 

The main trend is bullish and the pair is in a correction. Support is seen at 110.50 swing high followed by 110.36 swing low while to the upside bulls should expect resistance at 111.10 swing high followed by the 111.50 figure. The pair is trading above its 50, 100 and 200-period simple moving average on the 4-hour chart suggesting a strong upward momentum. 

Author

Flavio Tosti

Flavio Tosti

Independent Analyst

 

More from Flavio Tosti
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD holds above 0.6950 as bullish USD caps gains

AUD/USD edges lower during the Asian session on Tuesday, stalling a two-day recovery move from a two-month low, touched last week. An extended rout in the fixed income market keeps US bond yields elevated near multi-year highs. This, along with geopolitical uncertainties, helps the US Dollar retain its bullish tone despite receding October Fed hike bets. However, expectations for another RBA rate hike this month could act as a tailwind for the Aussie.

USD/JPY rises back above 158.00 despite hawkish BoJ outlook

USD/JPY rises back above 158.00 in the early European morning on Tuesday. The pair strengthens as the Japanese Yen fails to find any inspiration from hawkish BoJ expectations and looming intervention risks. Meanwhile, geopolitical uncertainty and elevated US bond yields keep the US Dollar near its YTD high despite receding October Fed hike bets. This, in turn, helps the pair stay supported.

Gold seems vulnerable near two-month low amid strong USD, higher US bond yields

Gold sticks to modest intraday losses heading into the European session, though it holds above the $4,100 mark, a two-month low touched earlier this Tuesday. The US Dollar retains its bullish tone and continues to undermine demand for the commodity. However, receding bets for an October Fed rate hike act as a tailwind for the non-yielding bullion and help limit further losses.

Ripple and Stellar weaken as derivatives positioning fades
Ripple (XRP) and Stellar (XLM) face pressure trading below $1.499 and $0.220, respectively, on Tuesday after a modest correction at the start of the week. Traders should be cautious as weakening derivatives metrics and fading bullish momentum suggest further corrections for XRP and XLM. Derivatives data shows a weakening and cautious signal among traders.
Europe in focus as French and Spanish politics drive sentiment

There are no tier-1 releases today. Focus will remain on developments in the European markets and geopolitical developments in the Middle East. In France, the key issue in the coming days will be whether the Socialists and Marine Le Pen's National Rally signal they are willing to topple the government over the budget.

Eurozone inflation just hit 3.8%, its highest in three years. This chart shows why the ECB can’t simply hike its way out

The ECB would normally have a relatively straightforward answer to inflation running almost twice its target: raise interest rates. But these are not normal circumstances. This time, the bond market is already doing part of the tightening for it, leaving the ECB facing an increasingly difficult dilemma.